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Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Seattle Kraken
Kraken
Seattle Kraken
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth -1.5
"Utah ML -135 +4.4 EV (60% model vs 57% implied); Keller edge vs Kraken injury depth"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
60%
Edge
+10.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth None
68%
TOTAL under 6.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Utah Mammoth

Seattle Kraken

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - 118 / -133 ↑ -
Pinnacle 1.5 (-221) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 6.0 (-110)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Utah Mammoth

B
Barrett Hayton
(C) out — out
Out

Seattle Kraken

S
Shane Wright
(C) day-to-day — Wright (upper body) won't be in the lineup versus the Oilers on Tuesday.
Day-To-Day
R
Ryan Winterton
(C) out — out
Out
M
Max McCormick
(LW) out — McCormick will miss the entirety of the 2025-26 campaign after undergoing hip surgery, the team announced Tuesday.
Out
Game Preview
Utah Mammoth @ Seattle Kraken
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 1.5 (-221)
Total Over 6.0
Key Injuries
Barrett Hayton Out
Shane Wright Day-To-Day
Ryan Winterton Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Utah Mammoth @ Seattle Kraken

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth 65% Sharp Lean
"Utah ML -135 +4.4 EV (60% model vs 57% implied); Keller edge vs Kraken injury depth"
60% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 60%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +10.0%
Line Movement
Current Utah Mammoth -135 ML / Spread Utah -135 (Home +185 / Home ML +114) / Total 6.5
Movement No movement data available
Utah ML at -135 offers +4.44 EV with our 60% prob vs 57.45% implied (breakeven 57.45%, exceeds by 2.55%)
Model: 43.4% win rate | n=122 — DDN 3-2 vs Utah, 3-4 vs Seattle; reduce totals confidence per consistent losses
FULL ANALYSIS
Utah Mammoth -135 road fave with Keller (73P pace)/Guenther driving offense vs Kraken missing Wright/McCormick/Winterton depth. Model 60% Utah win prob (Poisson/ELO) exceeds market implied 57.4%; NHL home dog ML hits 52% long-term. Total under 6.5 as model projects 5.8 goals amid DDN totals bleeding (-18.78u/7d).
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Utah Mammoth -1.5
+3.2 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth None
+4.4 EV 68% 1.5u
TOTAL under 6.5
+1.8 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Seattle Kraken +110
  • Model assigns 52% to Utah vs 56.5% implied, creating +EV on home dog Seattle at +110 with 1.02 HCA
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Seattle Kraken +1.5
  • NHL spreads inefficient at -225 juice; model expected margin 0.3 goals favors covering easy +1.5
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 67%
UNDER 6.5 6.5
  • Model Poisson proj 5.9 total goals with Seattle home unders hitting 58% (N small); injuries reduce scoring depth
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Seattle +110 home dog (52% model vs 56.5% implied) + under 6.5 (5.9 proj) = +4.2 EV combo; injuries cap scoring.
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