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NHL
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Los Angeles Kings
Kings
Los Angeles Kings
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
67% Sharp Lean
67% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
"Kings home ML +4.8 EV (56% model prob): Kempe firepower vs Hayton-out Mammoth, recent 1-0 H2H hit"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
56%
Edge
+6.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Los Angeles Kings -1.5
64%
TOTAL Los Angeles Kings Under 5.5 5.5
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Utah Mammoth

Los Angeles Kings

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada - -112 / -108 ↑ -
Bovada -2.5 (375) - -
Bovada - - Over 2.5 (-115)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Utah Mammoth

B
Barrett Hayton
(C) out — out
Out

Los Angeles Kings

A
Andrei Kuzmenko
(LW) Injured Reserve — Kuzmenko (knee) isn't expected to return before the end of the 2025-26 regular season, per John Hoven of SiriusXM NHL Network Radio on Friday.
Injured Reserve
K
Kevin Fiala
(LW) Injured Reserve — Fiala (lower leg fracture) won't be available before training camp for the 2026-27 campaign, per John Hoven of SiriusXM NHL Network Radio.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Utah Mammoth @ Los Angeles Kings
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (375)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Barrett Hayton Out
Andrei Kuzmenko Injured Reserve
Kevin Fiala Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Utah Mammoth @ Los Angeles Kings

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Kings 67% Sharp Lean
"Kings home ML +4.8 EV (56% model prob): Kempe firepower vs Hayton-out Mammoth, recent 1-0 H2H hit"
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +6.0%
Line Movement
Open omega_model
Current Kings -145 / Mammoth +125 | Spread: Kings -1.5 (+160) / Mammoth +1.5 (-190) | Total: 5.5 (-110)
Movement N/A - model generated
+4.8 EV on Kings ML at model -145 (56% prob vs 59% implied fair); marginal edges on spread/total
Model: 45.7% win rate | n=35 — Strong vs these teams (Kings 2-1, Mammoth 3-0) but overall calibration reduces confidence
FULL ANALYSIS
Kings get home edge with Kuzmenko/Fiala out less damaging than Mammoth losing Hayton (2C); Kempe's 60 pts pace exploits Utah road D allowing 3.1/g. Model 56% Kings win (3.3-2.6 expected) vs -145 fair line for +4.8 EV. Total leans under 5.5 on injury-depleted scoring (proj 5.3).
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Kings
+4.8 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD Los Angeles Kings -1.5
+2.1 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Los Angeles Kings Under 5.5 5.5
+1.2 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Los Angeles Kings -163
  • Kings missing Kuzmenko/Fiala but home ice + model 3-0 vs Mammoth provides edge over depleted Utah (Hayton out)
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Los Angeles Kings
  • Model expected score 3.3-2.2 Kings; Kempe (60 pts) carries depleted offense vs Utah's injury hit
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 68%
UNDER 5.5 5.5
  • Model total 5.5 with injuries reducing scoring; NHL avg dips to 5.4 late season
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Kings home vs injured Mammoth, model 62% win prob (+4.2 EV) with 3-0 record vs Utah
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