Home › NHL › Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche
NHL
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild
Wild
Colorado Avalanche
Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +50.6% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche -1.5
"Avs -1.5: +9.5% net injury edge (MIN Brodin OUT) + sharp 11% home spread divergence, 2.9 EV"
EV / $100
+2.9
Win Prob
66%
Edge
+15.8%
Size
1.0u
MONEYLINE Colorado Avalanche None
62%
TOTAL over 5.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 18.0% divergence on total with strong signal.
Sharp: over Boost: +3
Whale Activity Detected
$3113 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 1 trades Kalshi: 3 trades Largest: $1900

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Minnesota Wild

Colorado Avalanche

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -180 / 155 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -178 / 156 -
Value Line - -177 / 155 -
Sharp Action Best Line -2.5 (240) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (147) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 3.5 (210)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (-101)
De-Vigged Fair Value 160 / -160 -168 / 168 O/U 106 / -106
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Minnesota Wild

J
Joel Eriksson Ek
(C) day-to-day — Eriksson Ek (undisclosed) is questionable for Game 1 against Colorado on Sunday, Michael Russo of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jonas Brodin
(D) out — Brodin (lower body) will miss at least the beginning of Minnesota's second-round series against Colorado, Dylan Loucks of The Hockey News reports Saturday.
Out
C
Charlie Stramel
(C) out — Stramel signed a three-year, entry-level contract extension with the Wild on Monday.
Out

Colorado Avalanche

J
Josh Manson
(D) day-to-day — Manson (upper body) took part in Saturday's practice and is day-to-day, per Evan Rawal of the Denver Gazette.
Day-To-Day
J
Joel Kiviranta
(LW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (240)
Total Over 3.5
Key Injuries
Joel Eriksson Ek Day-To-Day
Jonas Brodin Out
Josh Manson Day-To-Day
Joel Kiviranta Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche

+2.9 EV
per $100 wagered
Colorado Avalanche 64% Sharp Lean
"Avs -1.5: +9.5% net injury edge (MIN Brodin OUT) + sharp 11% home spread divergence, 2.9 EV"
66% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 66%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +15.8%
Line Movement
Current Puck Line: COL -1.5 -140 / MIN +1.5 +166 | ML: COL -192 / MIN +160 | Total: 5.5 (-110)
Movement No significant line movement detected
Net injury advantage to Colorado (+9.5%): MIN -15.8% (Brodin OUT) vs COL -6.3%
Neutral EV on home ML; value in spread and total per sharp signals
FULL ANALYSIS
Minnesota hit harder by injuries (Brodin OUT, -15.8% lambda) vs COL minor DTDs (+9.5% net home edge). Sharp money piles on home puck -1.5 (11.1% edge) and over 5.5 (18% divergence). Bayesian ML posterior flat at 65.8% but spread/total signals create value; whale minor home confirms.
SHARP MONEY
Strong sharp edge on home spread (11.1%) and over total (18.0%); minor whale home ($3k volume)
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Colorado Avalanche -1.5
+2.9 EV 64% 1.0u
MONEYLINE Colorado Avalanche None
+0.1 EV 62%
TOTAL over 5.5
+3.2 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 62%
Colorado Avalanche -192
  • Bayesian posterior 65.8% aligns with market but injuries boost home edge
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Colorado Avalanche -1.5
  • Net +9.5% injury edge (MIN Brodin OUT critical D) + sharp 11.1% on home puck cover
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 5.5
  • Sharp 18.0% edge on over + cross-market total lean over at 6.0
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Avalanche -2 on 10.6% sharp edge +6.3% injury tilt vs Wild; over 4.8 18% sharp div (Pinnacle fair 47.5%)
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE