Home › MLB › Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +44.1% EV
62% Lean
62% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers -2.2
"Dodgers -2.2: 19.8% sharp edge + 43.9% EV vs Pinnacle fair + extreme whales $156k (78% conf), +3pt boost"
EV / $100
+4.3
Win Prob
58%
Edge
+8.5%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE St. Louis Cardinals None
58%
TOTAL over 8.0
57%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 18.7% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$799752 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (71% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 500 trades Kalshi: 151 trades Largest: $19980

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 123 / -147 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 127 / -140 -
Value Line - 120 / -150 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-300) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-129) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 9.0 (-119)
De-Vigged Fair Value -122 / 122 134 / -134 O/U -111 / 111
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday, Triple-A Oklahoma City broadcaster Alex Freedman reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz said Monday that he's feeling "really good" following right elbow surgery and expressed confidence that he will be back to full strength in the second half of the season, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
15-Day-IL
M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts said Wednesday that he recently resumed hitting in the batting cage after he was briefly shut down from the activity when he experienced soreness in his right oblique while taking batting practice on the field, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
10-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) has been facing live pitching but is still doing only straight-line running, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) will draw another start with Single-A Ontario on Tuesday.
15-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) had his rehab assignment transferred from Single-A Ontario to Triple-A Oklahoma City, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL

St. Louis Cardinals

L
Lars Nootbaar
(LF) 60-day IL — Nootbaar (heels) is close to participating in extended spring training games, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Matt Pushard
(RP) 15-day IL — Pushard (knee) will head to Triple-A Memphis on Tuesday to begin a rehab assignment, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
15-Day-IL
P
Packy Naughton
(RP) day-to-day — Imaging revealed damage to the UCL in Naughton's left elbow Saturday, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
Day-To-Day
I
Ixan Henderson
(SP) day-to-day — Henderson (elbow) is starting the season on the 60-day injured list at Triple-A Memphis.
Day-To-Day
V
Victor Santos
(RP) day-to-day — Santos (elbow) has compiled a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 26:7 K:BB across 34 innings over his first nine outings (seven starts) in the Dominican Winter League.
Day-To-Day
S
Sem Robberse
(SP) day-to-day — Robberse (elbow) signed a minor-league contract with the Cardinals on Monday, which includes an invitation to spring training, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Day-To-Day
Z
Zack Thompson
(RP) day-to-day — The Cardinals reassigned Thompson (shoulder) to minor-league camp Monday.
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-300)
Total Over 9.0
Key Injuries
Brusdar Graterol 15-Day-IL
Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL
Lars Nootbaar 60-Day-IL
Matt Pushard 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

+4.3 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 62% Lean
"Dodgers -2.2: 19.8% sharp edge + 43.9% EV vs Pinnacle fair + extreme whales $156k (78% conf), +3pt boost"
58% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 58%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +8.5%
Line Movement
Current Dodgers -2.2 (-110 est), Cardinals +2.2; Total 8.0 (-110 est); ML Dodgers -170 / Cardinals +141
Movement No significant movement detected
ML Dodgers negative EV at -170 (-7.1 per $100); focus spread +EV opportunities
FULL ANALYSIS
Dodgers -2.2 offers value from 19.8% sharp spread edge + extreme $156k whale volume (78% away) despite Bayesian ML neutral at 58.5%. Net injuries favor Dodgers (-6.9% vs Cardinals -9.7%). Degraded data (no pitchers/MC) caps conf; spreads hit 56% in LEAN tier.
SHARP MONEY
19.8% sharp edge on spread away + moderate 1.3% ML edge; strong signal overall
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -2.2
+4.3 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE St. Louis Cardinals None
+0.1 EV 58%
TOTAL over 8.0
+1.2 EV 57%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
St. Louis Cardinals 141
  • Bayesian posterior 41.5% matches de-vig implied breakeven exactly for tiny positive EV
SPREAD PICK
○ 62%
Los Angeles Dodgers -2.2
  • Strong 19.8% sharp divergence on spread favoring Dodgers + 43.9% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (away cover 48%)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 57%
OVER 8.0
  • Pinnacle fair value over 51.4% vs -110 implied for marginal +EV
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers -2.2 spread +20.1% sharp edge & $146k extreme whales vs Cards injury hit (-9.7%)
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE