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MLB
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Chicago White Sox
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +46.0% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels -1.5
"MC 19.7 & omega 22.5 total vs 8.5 market line = 65% over prob, +24 EV"
EV / $100
+4.6
Win Prob
53%
Edge
+2.6%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Angels None
53%
TOTAL over 8.5
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 17.8% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1750437 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (71% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 436 trades Kalshi: 309 trades Largest: $30783
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +126.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +14.0
Win Prob
36.2%
ML
177 / -177

Player Props Engine

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Los Angeles Angels

Chicago White Sox

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 100 / -120 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 104 / -115 -
Value Line - 100 / -124 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-380) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-159) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.5 (-113)
De-Vigged Fair Value -150 / 150 109 / -109 O/U -106 / 106
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

B
Ben Joyce
(RP) 15-day IL — Joyce (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Wednesday, Taylor Blake Ward of TheSportingTribune.com reports.
15-Day-IL
L
Logan O'Hoppe
(C) 10-day IL — O'Hoppe said Monday that the fracture in his left wrist is small and he believes he will return from the injured list in a "couple of weeks," Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
K
Kirby Yates
(RP) 15-day IL — Yates (knee) has made three minor-league rehab outings since April 17, giving up a combined seven runs on seven hits while posting a 5:1 K:BB over three innings.
15-Day-IL
G
Grayson Rodriguez
(SP) 15-day IL — Rodriguez (shoulder) threw to live hitters in Arizona on Friday, and the Angels are evaluating how he came out of that session before determining the next step in his throwing program, Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Alek Manoah
(SP) 15-day IL — Manoah (finger) tossed four simulated innings to hitters Tuesday and is nearing a minor-league rehab assignment, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
R
Ryan Johnson
(SP) 15-day IL — Johnson (hamstring/illness) has resumed playing catch and is close to throwing a bullpen session, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
R
Robert Stephenson
(RP) 60-day IL — The Angels announced that Stephenson underwent ligament and flexor repair surgery on his right elbow Wednesday and is likely to miss the remainder of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Anthony Rendon
(3B) 60-day IL — The Angels placed Rendon (hip) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL

Chicago White Sox

E
Everson Pereira
(RF) day-to-day — Pereira will start at designated hitter and bat cleanup in Sunday's game against the Athletics.
Day-To-Day
T
Tanner Murray
(LF) 10-day IL — The White Sox placed Murray on the 10-day injured list Monday with a left shoulder dislocation.
10-Day-IL
J
Jonathan Cannon
(SP) 15-day IL — Cannon (hip) threw a bullpen session Wednesday and could begin a rehab assignment shortly, MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
K
Kyle Teel
(C) 10-day IL — Teel did not begin a rehab assignment earlier this week as initially anticipated, as his right hamstring is "still grabbing at him a little bit" when he runs, Connor McKnight of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
10-Day-IL
C
Chris Murphy
(RP) 15-day IL — Murphy (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Saturday, Brooke Fletcher of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
15-Day-IL
P
Prelander Berroa
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Berroa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
B
Brooks Baldwin
(LF) 60-day IL — Baldwin underwent season-ending internal brace surgery April 1 to repair a right UCL tear, Brooke Fletcher of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Mason Adams
(RP) day-to-day — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
M
Mike Vasil
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
K
Ky Bush
(SP) 60-day IL — The White Sox placed Bush (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
D
Drew Thorpe
(SP) 15-day IL — The White Sox placed Thorpe (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
T
Tim Elko
(1B) out — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.
Out
Game Preview
Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-380)
Total Over 8.5
Key Injuries
Ben Joyce 15-Day-IL
Logan O'Hoppe 10-Day-IL
Everson Pereira Day-To-Day
Tanner Murray 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox

+4.6 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Angels 60% Lean
"MC 19.7 & omega 22.5 total vs 8.5 market line = 65% over prob, +24 EV"
53% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 53%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.6%
Line Movement
Current LAA -1.5 -126 / CWS +1.5 +105, O/U 8.5 -110, ML CWS +104 / LAA -126
Movement No significant movement detected
Slight +1.6pp edge on away ML vs devigged market prior
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega Poisson+ELO projects 11.2-11.2 tie with 22.5 total vs market 8.5, yielding 65.2% over posterior and 24 EV. Sharp 17.8% spread edge to Angels -1.5 despite extreme whale volume on Sox (contradict, default sharp). Bayesian fuses to 52.6% Angels ML vs devig prior, MC 19.7 total confirms over value.
SHARP MONEY
17.8% sharp edge on spread to away + strong divergence signal
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Angels -1.5
+4.6 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Angels None
+1.6 EV 53% 0u
TOTAL over 8.5
+24.4 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 53%
Los Angeles Angels -126
  • Bayesian posterior 52.6% vs devigged market 51.0%
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Los Angeles Angels -1.5
  • Sharp 17.8% edge favoring away cover +46% EV vs retail fair value (away 40%)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 62%
OVER 8.5
  • Bayesian over posterior 65.2% vs 50% implied (+15.2pp), MC projects 19.7 total
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Angels -2.2: sharp 17.8% spread edge + MC 49% cover despite whale home steam (+4.5 EV)
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