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Brooklyn Nets
Nets
Sacramento Kings
Kings
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Sacramento Kings
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -225 / 185 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 23.5 (210) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Brooklyn Nets
Noah Clowney
(F)
out — Clowney (wrist) won't play Sunday in Sacramento, according to Erik Slater of ClutchPoints.com
Out
Nic Claxton
(C)
out — Claxton (rest) won't play in Sunday's game in Sacramento, according to Erik Slater of ClutchPoints.com.
Out
Terance Mann
(G)
day-to-day — Mann (illness) is probable for Sunday's game against Sacramento, Erik Slater of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Michael Porter Jr.
(F)
out — An MRI confirmed a left hamstring strain for Porter and he will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks.
Out
Egor Demin
(G)
out — Demin underwent a non-surgical procedure to address plantar fasciitis in his left foot, and there's hope he will make a full recovery in time for NBA Summer League, Brian Lewis of the New York Post reports
Out
Day'Ron Sharpe
(C)
out — Sharpe has been diagnosed with an ulnar collateral ligament tear in his left thumb and will require season-ending surgery, Erik Slater of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Out
Sacramento Kings
Russell Westbrook
(G)
out — Westbrook (foot) is out for Sunday's game against the Nets.
Out
Daeqwon Plowden
(G)
day-to-day — Plowden is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Nets due to right foot soreness.
Day-To-Day
Drew Eubanks
(F)
out — Eubanks underwent successful surgery to repair a torn UCL in his left thumb Wednesday and he will miss the remainder of the season, Sean Cunningham of Fox 40 Sacramento reports.
Out
Keegan Murray
(F)
out — Murray (ankle) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Matt George of ABC 10 Sacramento reports.
Out
De'Andre Hunter
(F)
out — Hunter is set to undergo season-ending eye surgery, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
Domantas Sabonis
(F)
out — Sabonis underwent season-ending knee surgery Wednesday to repair a torn left meniscus, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Out
Zach LaVine
(G)
out — LaVine will undergo season-ending surgery on his right hand after the All-Star break, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Sacramento Kings
66%
TOSS-UP
"Kings ML (+4.2EV): Nets -Porter Jr (24PPG out) vs DeRozan-led Kings at home, 58% model prob"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+8.0%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Kings -130 fair ML implied (58% prob); +EV vs typical -120 market pricing on home favorites
FULL ANALYSIS
Nets gutted without Porter Jr's 24PPG (their top scorer) plus Sharpe/Clowney/Demin out — that's -25% offense. Kings miss Murray but DeRozan (18.5) + Westbrook carry; home edge projects 58% win prob. Total drops 15pts on injury volume; model sees +4.2EV on Kings ML at -130 fair.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Sacramento Kings -125 (fair model price)
- Kings have fewer key absences (Murray out but DeRozan available at 18.5 PPG) vs Nets missing Porter Jr (24.2 PPG), Mann, Clowney, Demin, Sharpe
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Sacramento Kings
- Nets' top scorer Michael Porter Jr out (24.2 PPG) creates -15% offensive efficiency drop; Kings' core DeRozan/Westbrook healthy
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
62%
UNDER 225.5 (FAIR MODEL) 225.5
- 10 combined injuries including Murray/Monk (Kings shooting) + Porter/Clowney (Nets spacing) project -18pts off typical pace
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Kings ML +4.2 EV: Nets missing Porter Jr (24.2 PPG) + 4 others vs Kings' healthy DeRozan/Westbrook core at home
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