Home › NBA › Brooklyn Nets @ Charlotte Hornets
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
Nets
111 - 77
LIVE
Charlotte Hornets
Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Charlotte Hornets Charlotte Hornets -7.5
"Hornets -7.5 lean only at 60 confidence; -205 ML too juiced to back, no validated edge"
EV / $100
+4.5
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+2.3%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Brooklyn Nets None
55%
TOTAL under 214.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
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Brooklyn Nets

Charlotte Hornets

Live Stats

OMEGA Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
11.5
Moneyline
CHA -521 / BRO 521
Win Probability
84% - 16%

OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.

Injury Report

Brooklyn Nets

J
Joshua Jefferson
(F) day-to-day — Jefferson (lower back) is out for Tuesday's preseason game against Charlotte, Brian Lewis of the New York Post reports.
Day-To-Day
M
Mikel Brown Jr.
(G) day-to-day — Brown (ankle) will miss Tuesday's preseason game against the Hornets, Brian Lewis of the New York Post reports.
Day-To-Day

Charlotte Hornets

B
Brandon Miller
(F) day-to-day — Miller (leg) is listed as out for Tuesday's preseason game versus the Nets.
Day-To-Day
C
Christian Anderson
(G) day-to-day — Anderson (ankle) won't play in Tuesday's preseason game against the Nets.
Day-To-Day
K
Kylan Boswell
(G) day-to-day — Boswell is rehabbing a right knee injury, and he's hopeful to be cleared for basketball activities prior to the start of the G League season in late October.
Day-To-Day
C
Coby White
(G) day-to-day — The Hornets announced Monday that White suffered a left calf strain during training camp and will not play during the preseason.
Day-To-Day
K
Kon Knueppel
(G) day-to-day — Hornets general manager Jeff Peterson said Monday that he "doesn't know" whether Knueppel (hamstring) will be available for the team's regular-season opener against the Nets, Owen Watterson of SI.com reports.
Day-To-Day
G
Grant Williams
(F) day-to-day — Williams will miss the preseason after suffering a right hamstring injury, the Hornets announced Friday.
Day-To-Day
P
PJ Hall
(C) day-to-day — The Hornets announced Thursday that Hall underwent a procedure to address a fractured right ankle and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Day-To-Day
Live Box Score
LIVE
Brooklyn Nets
Nets
111
-
Charlotte Hornets
Hornets
77

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: Charlotte Hornets (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T23:30:58.781696 UTC

55.5% model win probability exceeds 52.4% break-even at -110 equivalent.

Spread: Charlotte Hornets -2.5 (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T23:30:58.815504 UTC

Home court +2.5 model edge with Hornets at full health except day-to-day depth pieces.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-05T07:10:42.683360 UTC

Randle is the primary scoring option; preseason minutes should be sufficient to clear 18.5

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Brooklyn Nets @ Charlotte Hornets

+4.45 EV
per $100 wagered
Charlotte Hornets 60% Lean
"Hornets -7.5 lean only at 60 confidence; -205 ML too juiced to back, no validated edge"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 51%
Edge +2.3%
Line Movement
Current Charlotte Hornets -7.5 / Total 214.5 / Charlotte -205
Movement No opening line supplied; current DraftKings: spread -7.5, total 214.5
Small spread edge vs -105; moneyline favorite too juiced to recommend at capped confidence
FULL ANALYSIS
Charlotte -7.5 (-105) and -205 ML show market expects comfortable home win; total 214.5. With no models, no flags, and 7 Day-To-Day listings, only a small home-spread lean at 53.5% vs 51.2% implied. Juiced -205 favorite cannot clear value filter under 65 cap.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Charlotte Hornets -7.5
+4.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Brooklyn Nets None
-2.8 EV 55%
TOTAL under 214.5
+3.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Brooklyn Nets 170
  • Charlotte -205 needs 67.2% breakeven requiring 72%+ to recommend; capped at 65 so favorite is PASS, taking underdog side as low lean only
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Charlotte Hornets -7.5
  • Home -7.5 at -105 needs only 51.2% breakeven; model holds 53.5% with no situational flags
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 214.5
  • No pace or weather data; 214.5 is low total favoring under as default lean with 54% projection
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Display-only lean: Hornets home baseline +2.1pp edge, capped at 60 confidence with no market
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