Home › NHL › St. Louis Blues @ New Jersey Devils
NHL
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Blues
New Jersey Devils
Devils
New Jersey Devils
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω DDN SI PICK +4.0% EV
62% Lean
62% Lean
MONEYLINE
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils None
"Zero-edge game: Devils -185 prices exactly at the 64.9% model posterior and every spread/total side is -EV after juice — no bet."
Win Prob
65%
SPREAD St. Louis Blues 1.5
60%
TOTAL under 5.5
55%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 1.2% divergence on total with moderate signal.
Sharp: over
Whale Activity Detected
$30070 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (92% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 9 trades Largest: $11674

Player Props Engine

Powered by DDN SI

St. Louis Blues

New Jersey Devils

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -190 / 163 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -187 / 163 -
Value Line - -182 / 150 -
Sharp Action Best Line -1.5 (142) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (143) ↓ - -
Value Line -1.5 (140) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 6.0 (-108)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (-103)
Value Line - - Over 6.5 (112)
De-Vigged Fair Value 155 / -155 -176 / 176 O/U 104 / -104
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

St. Louis Blues

C
Colton Parayko
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
L
Logan Mailloux
(D) Injured Reserve — The Blues assigned Mailloux (hand) to AHL Springfield for a conditioning assignment Monday.
Injured Reserve
T
Torey Krug
(D) Injured Reserve — Krug (ankle) was placed on long-term injured reserve by the Blues on Monday, per PuckPedia.
Injured Reserve
D
Dillon Dube
(C) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
T
Tyler Tucker
(D) Injured Reserve — Tucker had arthroscopic knee surgery and will be re-assessed in six weeks, the team announced Wednesday.
Injured Reserve

New Jersey Devils

S
Seamus Casey
(D) Injured Reserve — Casey will be out of action for 6-8 weeks after undergoing a knee procedure, Kristy Flannery of The Hockey News reports Friday.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
St. Louis Blues @ New Jersey Devils
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (142)
Total Over 6.0
Key Injuries
Colton Parayko Day-To-Day
Logan Mailloux Injured Reserve
Seamus Casey Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

Get Daily Picks

DDN SI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: New Jersey Devils (-185) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-03T18:12:36.875222 UTC

None — -185 requires 64.9% and the posterior is exactly 64.9% (+0.0pp edge); flagged as the least-bad side only because Devils are healthier (Blues missing Mailloux, Krug, Dube, Tucker = -25% impact vs NJ -6.3%).

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

St. Louis Blues @ New Jersey Devils

New Jersey Devils 62% Lean
"Zero-edge game: Devils -185 prices exactly at the 64.9% model posterior and every spread/total side is -EV after juice — no bet."
65% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 65%
Book Implied 65%
Edge 0.0%
Line Movement
Current NJ -1.5 (+140) / STL +1.5 (-166), Total 5.5, NJ ML -185 / STL +154 (DraftKings)
Movement No significant line movement detected
FULL ANALYSIS
Nothing here clears the bar — Devils ML -185 prices exactly at the 64.9% posterior (0.0pp edge), the STL +1.5 covers at -1.5 EV after juice, and the available total side (under, because the +112 over Kambi price isn't in our binding) is -1.9 EV. Blues' blue line is gutted (Mailloux, Krug, Tucker IR, Parayko DTD, -25% lambda hit vs NJ -6.3%), which is the only real fundamental lean and the market's already priced all of it. Whales ($30K home) mildly confirm but can't manufacture edge that doesn't exist. With NHL calibration PAUSED and 67% data quality, this is a hard pass slate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE New Jersey Devils None
62%
SPREAD St. Louis Blues 1.5
-1.5 EV 60%
TOTAL under 5.5
-1.9 EV 55%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 62%
New Jersey Devils -185
  • None — -185 requires 64.9% and the posterior is exactly 64.9% (+0.0pp edge); flagged as the least-bad side only because Devils are healthier (Blues missing Mailloux, Krug, Dube, Tucker = -25% impact vs NJ -6.3%)
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
St. Louis Blues 1.5
  • None — puckline dog cover posterior is 61.5% vs 60.8% market (+0.8pp), but -166 juice makes the bet -1.5 EV per $100; St
  • Louis' shorthanded blue line worsens it
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 5.5
  • None — under posterior is 45.2% vs 50.9% fair; over carries the only nominally positive EV spot (+4.0% at Value Line +112 per Market Consensus de-vig) but that over row is not available at the bound price (-127), leaving under at -1.9 EV as the only total side
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Devils -0.5 on paper (Parayko/Mailloux out cost St. Louis -25% defensively), but Monte Carlo says Blues 54.7% and NHL is PAUSED — zero units.
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700