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Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
Diamondbac
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Ω OMEGA PICK
68% Strong
68% Strong
MONEYLINE
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
"Under 9.0 +4.1 EV: openers -0.8 runs avg + dual bullpen injuries project 8.2 total"
EV / $100
-3.8
Win Prob
68%
Edge
+18.0%
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
65%
TOTAL Under 9.0 9.0
70%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -246 / 215 ↑ -
Pinnacle -1.5 (-117) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 9.0 (-109)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

B
Blake Walston
(SP) 60-day IL — Arizona placed Walston (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
C
Cristian Mena
(RP) 60-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Mena (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
M
Merrill Kelly
(SP) 15-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Kelly on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to left intercostal nerve irritation.
15-Day-IL
L
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
(LF) 10-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Gurriel (knee) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
T
Tyler Locklear
(1B) 10-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Locklear (elbow) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
A
Adrian Del Castillo
(C) 10-day IL — Del Castillo (calf) is continuing to rehab and has begun running, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
10-Day-IL
K
Ketel Marte
(2B) day-to-day — Marte was scratched from Tuesday's exhibition game due to lower-leg soreness, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
Day-To-Day
A
A.J. Puk
(RP) 60-day IL — Puk (elbow) has begun throwing bullpen sessions off a mound, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Justin Martinez
(RP) 60-day IL — Martinez (elbow) is throwing from up to 120 feet on flat ground, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
C
Corbin Burnes
(SP) 60-day IL — Burnes (elbow) threw a bullpen session Monday, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Andrew Saalfrank
(RP) 60-day IL — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Derek Law
(RP) out — Law (forearm) signed a minor-league contract with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, Aaron Hughes of SI.com reports.
Out
K
Kyle Amendt
(RP) out — Amendt underwent shoulder surgery Tuesday, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Out
T
Tommy Henry
(RP) out — The Diamondbacks re-signed Henry (elbow) to a minor-league contract Monday.
Out

Los Angeles Dodgers

E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Stewart (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Monday.
15-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Snell (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Monday.
15-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Stone (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Monday.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — The Dodgers placed Edman (ankle) on the 10-day injured list Monday.
10-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack (undisclosed) on the 15-day injured list Monday.
15-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) out — The Dodgers signed Cousins (elbow) to a one-year contract Tuesday.
Out
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) said Wednesday that he's optimistic about being activated from the 60-day injured list when first eligible May 24, Jack Vita of the Los Angeles Times reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (-117)
Total Over 9.0
Key Injuries
Blake Walston 60-Day-IL
Cristian Mena 60-Day-IL
Evan Phillips 60-Day-IL
Brock Stewart 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers

+-3.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 68% Strong
"Under 9.0 +4.1 EV: openers -0.8 runs avg + dual bullpen injuries project 8.2 total"
68% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 68%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +18.0%
Line Movement
Current LAD -259 / ARI +209 | Total 9.0
Movement No movement data available
No edge on Dodgers ML at current price; ARI ML +EV but low confidence in early season spot
Model: 60.0% win rate | n=10 — Based on N=10 graded MLB outcomes; 1-0 vs LAD, 0-1 vs ARI
FULL ANALYSIS
Dodgers heavy fave but model sees 68% win prob vs 72% implied—no ML value at -259. Under 9.0 has edge with both bullpens banged up (Graterol/Stewart IL for LAD, Kelly IL for ARI) projecting 8.2 runs total. ARI injuries cascade worse in road opener spot.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers
-3.8 EV 68%
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
+1.2 EV 65%
TOTAL Under 9.0 9.0
+4.1 EV 70% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
Los Angeles Dodgers -261
  • Dodgers home dominance vs divisional rival despite bullpen injuries
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Model projects close game with ARI injuries offset by LAD bullpen holes (4 arms out)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 70%
UNDER 8.5 8.5
  • Both teams missing starters + LAD bullpen depleted projects 7.8 total runs
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Under 8.5: LAD bullpen missing 4 arms + ARI starters out projects 7.8 runs (+4.2 EV)
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