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MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
7 - 1
Final
Colorado Rockies
Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
62% Lean
62% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
"Dodgers RL despite juice: 17.5% sharp edge + RLM + extreme $528k whales (91%) vs Pinnacle fair, Coors over +35%"
EV / $100
+2.5
Win Prob
73%
Edge
+23.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers None
55%
TOTAL over 9.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Los Angeles Dodgers

Colorado Rockies

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 235 / -300 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 246 / -284 -
Value Line - 230 / -295 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-125) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (159) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 11.0 (-109)
De-Vigged Fair Value 171 / -171 268 / -268 O/U -102 / 102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) resumed swinging a bat over the weekend, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
10-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz is scheduled for surgery Wednesday to remove loose bodies from his right elbow and will be sidelined until the second half, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.
15-Day-IL
F
Freddie Freeman
(1B) Paternity — The Dodgers placed Freeman on the paternity list Sunday, Jon Paul Hoornstra of Newsweek.com reports.
Paternity
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) tossed a live bullpen session Wednesday, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) is beginning a rehab assignment with Single-A Ontario on Tuesday.
15-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took live at-bats against Blake Snell (shoulder) on Saturday, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Manager Dave Roberts said Friday that Graterol (shoulder) has begun throwing bullpen sessions, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

T
Tyler Freeman
(RF) day-to-day — Freeman left Monday's game against the Dodgers due to illness, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Kyle Freeland
(SP) 15-day IL — Freeland (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Monday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jeff Criswell
(RP) 60-day IL — Criswell (elbow) will face live hitters over the weekend and begin a rehab assignment shortly thereafter, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
M
McCade Brown
(SP) 60-day IL — The Rockies placed Brown (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
RJ Petit
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Pierson Ohl
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
C
Case Williams
(SP) day-to-day — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Brayan Castillo
(RP) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jared Thomas
(CF) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Kris Bryant
(DH) 60-day IL — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Box Score
FINAL
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
7
-
Colorado Rockies
Rockies
1
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
62% conf
W

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

+2.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 62% Lean Calibrated
"Dodgers RL despite juice: 17.5% sharp edge + RLM + extreme $528k whales (91%) vs Pinnacle fair, Coors over +35%"
73% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 73%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +23.0%
Line Movement
Current ML: Rockies +244 / Dodgers -308; Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 -308 / Rockies +1.5 +250; Total: 9.5 -110
Movement No significant line movement detected
Coors Field +35% over bias (+1.8 runs) Net injury edge to Dodgers (-2.8%) Altitude home advantage mitigated by Rockies injuries
Negative EV on Dodgers ML at -308 (breakeven 75.5%); spread away +25.3% EV available on Bovada +100 vs Pinnacle fair 62.7% cover
Model: 51.8% win rate | n=552 — Neutral MLB record; leans profitable on spread/ML, losing totals/props
FULL ANALYSIS
Dodgers -308 ML too juiced (73% our prob vs 75.5% breakeven) but sharp 17.5% spread edge + RLM and extreme $528k whale volume (53 wallets, 91% away) confirm away value vs Pinnacle fair 62.7% cover. Coors +35% over bias on 9.5 total with no pitchers to suppress. Injuries net -2.8% away edge despite Betts out; PM 6.4% home div but whales/sharps dominate.
SHARP MONEY
17.5% sharp edge on spread away + RLM yes; weak 0.6% on ML away
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
+2.5 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers None
-3.4 EV 55%
TOTAL over 9.5
+1.8 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -308
  • Juiced beyond -250 threshold (breakeven 75.5%, our 73%)
SPREAD PICK
● 62%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
  • 17.5% sharp spread edge + RLM with extreme $528k whale volume (91% conviction, institutional tier) on away
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 60%
OVER 9.5
  • Coors Field +35% over bias (+1.8 runs historical); neutral fair value 49.8% O/U
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Rockies +232 ML +41 EV (44% model prob vs 30% implied); MC 72.5% under 24 total
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