Home › NFL › Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
Titans
36 - 43
Final
Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
Full Game Analysis
NFL
Ω DDN SI PICK ALIGNED
62% Lean
62% Lean
SPREAD
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans 12.5
"Model total 41.5 vs market 46.5: under 46.5 at -108 carries the clearest quantitative gap in an NFL card where Titans scoring (17.6 EWMA PPG) can't sustain a 47-point game."
EV / $100
+5.1
Win Prob
57%
Edge
+5.1%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Cincinnati Bengals None
50%
TOTAL under 46.5
60%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
DDN SI LINE DDN SI Independent Projection
Spread
-14.0
Edge: -1.5
Total
41.5
Edge: -5.0
Win Prob
95.5%
ML
-2150 / 2150

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Tennessee Titans

Cincinnati Bengals

Box Score + DDN SI Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -850 / 575 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -920 / 672 -
Value Line - -1667 / 750 -
Sharp Action Best Line -12.5 (-108) - -
Market Consensus -14.0 (-105) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 46.5 (-108)
Market Consensus - - Over 46.0 (-114)
De-Vigged Fair Value -100 / -100 -836 / 836 O/U -107 / 107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Tennessee Titans

C
Cam Ward
(QB) active — Ward completed 26 of 40 passes for 304 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 43-36 overtime loss to the Bengals. He added seven rushing attempts for 41 yards, lost a fumble, ran in a two-point conversion and threw a successful two-point conversion.
Active
T
Tony Pollard
(RB) active — Pollard rushed 21 times for 117 yards and two touchdowns while catching three of five targets for 20 yards in Sunday's 43-36 overtime loss to the Bengals.
Active
P
Peter Skoronski
(G) questionable — Skoronski (hamstring) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Bengals.
Questionable
J
JC Latham
(OT) questionable — Latham (finger) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Questionable
J
James Williams Sr.
(LB) questionable — Williams (groin) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Bengals.
Questionable
K
Kevin Winston Jr.
(S) active
Active
M
Marcus Harris
(CB) questionable — Harris (ankle) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Bengals.
Questionable
J
Jaylon Jones
(CB) out — Jones (knee) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Out
K
Kylen Granson
(TE) out — Granson (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Out
J
John Franklin-Myers
(DE) active — Franklin-Myers (groin) is active for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
T
Tyjae Spears
(RB) out — inactive
Out
C
Carnell Tate
(WR) out — inactive
Out
T
Tommy Townsend
(P) out — inactive
Out
J
Jackie Marshall
(DT) out — inactive
Out
B
Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson
(OT) out — inactive
Out
C
Calvin Ridley
(WR) active — Ridley (hip) is active for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
T
Thomas Morstead
(P) active — The Titans elevated Morstead from the practice squad to the active roster Saturday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports.
Active
D
Dorian Mausi
(LB) Injured Reserve — Mausi (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Injured Reserve
X
Xavier Restrepo
(WR) active — The Titans elevated Restrepo from their practice squad to their active roster Saturday, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
E
Elic Ayomanor
(WR) active — Carnell Tate (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, leaving Ayomanor and Wan'Dale Robinson as the top wide receivers in the passing game, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
W
Wan'Dale Robinson
(WR) active — Robinson and the other pass catchers will operate in elevated roles against the Bengals on Sunday due to the absence of rookie fourth overall pick Carnell Tate (shoulder), Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
J
Jonah Laulu
(DT) active — The Titans claimed Laulu off waivers from the Raiders on Wednesday, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Active
A
Amani Hooker
(S) active — Hooker posted five tackles (two solo) during Sunday's 27-24 loss to Cleveland.
Active
A
Anthony Hill Jr.
(LB) active — Hill logged 12 tackles (five solo) and one forced fumble during the Titans' 27-24 loss to the Browns on Sunday.
Active
N
Nicholas Singleton
(RB) active
Active

Cincinnati Bengals

C
Chase Brown
(RB) active — Brown rushed 12 times for 55 yards and brought in eight of nine targets for 46 yards in the Bengals' 43-36 overtime win over the Titans on Sunday. He also lost a fumble.
Active
T
Tee Higgins
(WR) active — Higgins secured 10 of 11 targets for 155 yards and two touchdowns in the Bengals' 43-36 overtime win over the Titans on Sunday.
Active
J
Ja'Marr Chase
(WR) active — Chase secured 11 of 16 targets for 141 yards and a touchdown in the Bengals' 43-36 overtime win over the Titans on Sunday.
Active
J
Joe Burrow
(QB) active — Burrow completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions and added three carries for 10 yards and another score in the Bengals' 43-36 overtime win over the Titans on Sunday.
Active
C
Cashius Howell
(DE) questionable — Howell (wrist) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Titans.
Questionable
C
Cedric Johnson
(DE) questionable — Johnson (ankle) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Falcons.
Questionable
D
DJ Turner II
(CB) questionable — Turner (ankle) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Titans.
Questionable
M
Mitchell Tinsley
(WR) out — Tinsley (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against Tennessee.
Out
J
Joe Giles-Harris
(LB) active
Active
L
Landon Robinson
(DT) out — inactive
Out
M
Myles Hinton
(OT) out — inactive
Out
C
Connor Lew
(C) out — inactive
Out
K
Kyle Dugger
(S) out — inactive
Out
J
Jordan Battle
(S) active
Active
A
Andrei Iosivas
(WR) Injured Reserve — Iosivas (thumb) is making good progress in his rehab, Mike Petraglia of CLNSCincy.com reports.
Injured Reserve
E
Erick All Jr.
(TE) Injured Reserve — Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed Wednesday that All has been diagnosed with a torn ACL in his right knee and will require season-ending surgery, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports.
Injured Reserve
B
Barrett Carter
(LB) active — Carter recorded nine tackles (three solo) and a pass defense during Sunday's 35-13 win over the Ravens.
Active
B
Boye Mafe
(DE) active — Mafe finished Sunday's 35-13 win over the Ravens with five tackles (three solo), including 1.5 sacks.
Active
B
Bryan Cook
(S) active — Cook recorded nine tackles (six solo), including 0.5 sacks, during the Bengals' 35-13 win over the Ravens on Sunday.
Active
D
Demetrius Knight Jr.
(LB) active — Knight totaled eight tackles (two solo) and an interception during the Bengals' win over the Ravens on Sunday.
Active
D
Dohnte Meyers
(WR) active — Meyers failed to catch either of his two targets in Sunday's 35-13 win over the Ravens.
Active
C
Cam Grandy
(TE) active — The Bengals signed Grandy off the Vikings' practice squad Monday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
Active
S
Shemar Stewart
(DE) active
Active
R
Russ Yeast
(S) active
Active
M
Mike Gesicki
(TE) active — Gesicki caught his only target for a six-yard touchdown in Sunday's 35-13 win over the Ravens.
Active
Box Score
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
Titans
36
-
Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals
43
Tennessee Titans 12.5
62% conf
W

Get Daily Picks

DDN SI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Tennessee Titans 12.5 (-112) WIN · Recorded 2026-10-30T19:55:48.652423 UTC

OMEGA scoring model+team strength line is -14.0 vs a market -12.5, and the model expected total (41.5-42.6) sits well below market 46.5 — the win probability is steep, but the cover margin barely costs value on the plus side with either end's path: edge concentrates toward Titans +12.5 as the weakest-used number

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals

+5.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Tennessee Titans 62% Lean
"Model total 41.5 vs market 46.5: under 46.5 at -108 carries the clearest quantitative gap in an NFL card where Titans scoring (17.6 EWMA PPG) can't sustain a 47-point game."
57% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 57%
Book Implied 52%
Edge +5.1%
Line Movement
Current Spread -12.5 (Home -108/Away -112), Total 46.5, ML Home -700/Away +500
Movement No movement data supplied
Titans 1-6 road-bound offense vs Bengals 4-2 at home 1-1 Cincinnati secondary injuries (Dugger OUT) Titans WR depth compromised: Carnell Tate OUT, Ridley questionable No rest/travel/altitude flags; unknowns left as flat
Titans +12.5 at -112 against a 44.6 ATS-implied spread z-score favorable to those signs of a flat-arm pass-first approach on the road, with dilution of killer third-down conversions against a slightly better Cincinnati pass rush that is missing two targets, gaining 5.1 points per $100 wagered on the ATS cover odds at the public line.
FULL ANALYSIS
OMEGA's independent line (Poisson 70% / ELO 30%) is -14.0 with a 41.5 total against a market -12.5 and 46.5 — the total gap is 5 points. Titans EWMA form of 17.6 points per game does not resemble a team that rates the 46.5 mark; Cincinnati missing Dugger and two tight ends on IR slightly dampens further take-off. The spread edges toward the short side of the number despite the far side of blowout risk. Sharp signal remains absent — single-book quotes only.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

DDN SI Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Tennessee Titans 12.5
+5.1 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Cincinnati Bengals None
-9.5 EV 50%
TOTAL under 46.5
+4.7 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Cincinnati Bengals -700
  • -700 is far worse than the -250 hard cutoff: breakeven 87.5% vs OMEGA-posterior ~95.6% home win probability supplies mathematical bus EV, but at 87.5% breakeven a single Titans upset erases ~7.8 wins of profit; rules force a PASS at this price
SPREAD PICK
○ 62%
Tennessee Titans 12.5
  • OMEGA scoring model+team strength line is -14.0 vs a market -12.5, and the model expected total (41.5-42.6) sits well below market 46.5 — the win probability is steep, but the cover margin barely costs value on the plus side with either end's path: edge concentrates toward Titans +12.5 as the weakest-used number
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
UNDER 46.5
  • OMEga independent total is 41.5 and decomposed-ratings implied combined total is 42.6 — both 4-5 points below the market 46.5; Titans recent EWMA form is 17.6 PPG, far below what a 46.5 total requires
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Bengals -11.5 and under 46.5: model line -14/41.5 vs a 1-6 Titans team with three offensive starters Questionable — +$10 EV per $100 on the spread
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700