Home › NBA › Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
NBA
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
129 - 98
Final
Washington Wizards
Wizards
Washington Wizards
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Washington Wizards Washington Wizards +5.5
"Wizards +185 ML +23EV (our 52.6% vs 35% breakeven); omega -3/203 vs market -5.5/250 inflated by injury overreaction"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
53%
Edge
+2.6%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards None
64%
TOTAL under 250.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
-3.0
Edge: +2.5
Total
203.0
Edge: -47.5
Win Prob
52.6%
ML
-111 / 111

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Chicago Bulls

Washington Wizards

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Injury Report

Chicago Bulls

I
Isaac Okoro
(F) out — Okoro (quad) is out for Sunday's game in Dallas.
Out
M
Matas Buzelis
(F) out — Buzelis (ankle) won't play Sunday in Dallas.
Out
A
Anfernee Simons
(G) out — Simons (wrist) will not play in Chicago's final two games of the regular season, per K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network.
Out
G
Guerschon Yabusele
(F) out — Head coach Billy Donovan said Friday that Yabusele (shoulder/elbow) will not play in Chicago's final two regular-season games, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out
N
Nick Richards
(C) out — Richards (elbow) will not play in Chicago's final two games of the regular season, per K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network.
Out
J
Josh Giddey
(G) out — Giddey (hamstring) will not play in Chicago's final two games of the regular season, per K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network.
Out
J
Jalen Smith
(F) out — Smith (calf) will miss the remainder of the season, Joel Lorenzi of The Athletic reports.
Out
Z
Zach Collins
(F) out — Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
N
Noa Essengue
(F) out — Essengue will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out

Washington Wizards

T
Tristan Vukcevic
(F) out — Vukcevic (knee) is out for Sunday's game in Cleveland.
Out
A
Alex Sarr
(C) out — Sarr (toe) has been ruled out for Sunday's regular-season finale against Cleveland.
Out
B
Bilal Coulibaly
(G) out — Coulibaly (heel) won't play Sunday against the Cavs.
Out
T
Tre Johnson
(G) out — Johnson (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's regular-season finale against the Cavaliers.
Out
A
Anthony Davis
(F) out — Head coach Brian Keefe said Tuesday that Davis (finger) is not expected to play again this season, Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network reports.
Out
T
Trae Young
(G) out — Young (quadriceps, back) isn't expected to play again in 2025-26, per Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network.
Out
K
Kyshawn George
(F) out — George (elbow) will miss the rest of the 2025-26 season, Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network reports.
Out
D
D'Angelo Russell
(G) out — Russell (not injury related) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Magic.
Out
C
Cam Whitmore
(F) out — Whitmore has begun the recovery process for a diagnosed venous condition and he will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Out
Box Score
FINAL
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
129
-
Washington Wizards
Wizards
98
Washington Wizards +5.5
60% conf
L

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Washington Wizards 60% Lean
"Wizards +185 ML +23EV (our 52.6% vs 35% breakeven); omega -3/203 vs market -5.5/250 inflated by injury overreaction"
53% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 53%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.6%
Line Movement
Current CHI -5.5 / O/U 250.5 / ML Wizards +185 / Bulls -225
Movement No movement data
+23.4 EV on Wizards ML at +185 vs our 52.6% prob (breakeven 35.1%, exceeds by 17.5%)
Model: 49.1% win rate | n=397 — NBA 195-202 (N=397); recent 7d poor (-38u); vs Wizards 11-16, vs Bulls 8-22
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega_line -3/203 massively diverges from market -5.5/250.5 due to injury carnage (10 players out total, including stars like Davis/Young/Giddey). MC confirms 55% Wizards win/49% cover +3, creating +23EV on Wizards ML +185. Under has -47pt model edge as depleted rosters cap at ~103-100.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Washington Wizards +5.5
+4.2 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards None
+23.4 EV 64% 1u
TOTAL under 250.5
+3.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Washington Wizards -111
  • Model 52.6% win prob meets -111 breakeven (52.6%) exactly; Bulls missing 3 key players
SPREAD PICK
● 63%
Washington Wizards -3.0
  • OMEGA model projects Wizards 103-100 (+3pt edge) with Bulls missing Simons/Smith/Richards
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 203.0
  • OMEGA projects exactly 203 with depleted rosters both sides (10 injuries)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Wizards -3 (103-100 model) as Bulls depleted at PG/SF/SF despite mutual injuries; +1.8 EV ML
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