NBA
New York Knicks
Knicks
108
-
94
Final
Philadelphia 76ers
76ers
Ω OMEGA LINE
OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
-2.5
Edge: -1.0
Total
179.0
Edge: -35.5
Win Prob
49.6%
ML
101 / -101
Player Props Results
Final Box ScoreNew York Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -165 / 140 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -151 / 136 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 22.5 (185) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 213.5 (-114) |
| Market Consensus Best Line | -3.0 (-110) | - | - |
| Value Line | -3.5 (-110) ↓ | - | - |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -105 / 105 | -144 / 144 | O/U -107 / 107 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
New York Knicks
O
OG Anunoby
Philadelphia 76ers
No injuries reported
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
+8.4 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Knicks
65%
Sharp Lean
"NYK +1.5 (MC 63% cover +2.5 equiv, extreme whales $2.6M) & under 214.5 (models 181 total vs line, +28 EV)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
56%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+6.0%
Line Movement
Open
PHI -1.5 / 214.5 / PHI -122
Current
PHI -1.5 (-112) / 214.5 / PHI -122 / NYK +102
Movement
No significant movement detected
+11.2 EV on NYK ML at +102 (model 55.4% win prob exceeds 49.5% breakeven); under 214.5 offers +35 EV est with 90% prob
FULL ANALYSIS
MC 10k sims project NYK 96.4-93.9 win (55.4% prob, 63% cover +2.5) with omega/NegBin totals ~180-181 vs market 214.5 bloat. Extreme $2.6M whale vol + sharp away divergence confirm despite Bayesian 51% PHI and Knicks injuries (-10.4%). Low model agreement caps conf; totals edge massive but historical 48% WR demands caution.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 1.9% spread away (moderate), 0.8% ML away (weak); total over strong but contradicted by models projecting 181 total
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
63%
New York Knicks 102
- MC 55.4% win prob + Bayesian away edge +3.8pp vs de-vigged market
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
New York Knicks 1.5
- MC sims show 63.2% NYK cover +2.5 (equiv 68% +1.5) vs market -1.5
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
60%
UNDER 214.5
- Omega 179 / NegBin 181.3 / MC mean 190.3 vs market 214.5 (our under prob 89%)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Knicks +2.5 (67% MC cover, HIGH edge) + extreme $1.9M whale steam vs Omega PHI -2.5 lean
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