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NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +28.0% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers -1.5
"Oilers +11% sharp spread edge + $2.7M extreme whales (85% conviction) vs injured Ducks"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
66%
Edge
+16.0%
Size
1.0u
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
62%
TOTAL under 6.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 10.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$2687970 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (84% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 864 trades Kalshi: 462 trades Largest: $247316

Player Props Engine

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Anaheim Ducks

Edmonton Oilers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -168 / 142 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -165 / 145 -
Value Line - -167 / 145 -
Sharp Action Best Line -2.5 (230) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (145) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.0 (-103)
De-Vigged Fair Value 158 / -158 -156 / 156 O/U 104 / -104
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

J
Jansen Harkins
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
R
Radko Gudas
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day

Edmonton Oilers

A
Adam Henrique
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
C
Colton Dach
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
M
Max Jones
(LW) out — Jones (lower body) will be out of action for 3-4 weeks, according to Tony Brar of Oilers TV on Monday.
Out
Game Preview
Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (230)
Total Over 7.0
Key Injuries
Jansen Harkins Day-To-Day
Radko Gudas Day-To-Day
Adam Henrique Day-To-Day
Colton Dach Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers 64% Sharp Lean
"Oilers +11% sharp spread edge + $2.7M extreme whales (85% conviction) vs injured Ducks"
66% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 66%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +16.0%
Line Movement
Current Puck Line: EDM -1.5 (-175), ML: EDM -175 / ANA +145, Total: 6.5
Movement No significant movement
Home injury disadvantage (-3.2% net)
Slight edge after sharp/whale boosts despite 0% calibrated edge
FULL ANALYSIS
Extreme $2.7M whale volume (100 profitable wallets, 85% home) aligns with 11% sharp spread edge despite Pinnacle fair favoring away cover +29.9% retail EV. Home injuries (-12.6%) offset by McDavid (1.8 pts/10g avg) carrying load vs Ducks. Prediction mkt -6% contra but volume-weighted signals dominate; under fits NHL variance + lambda adj.
SHARP MONEY
11.0% sharp edge on home spread + weak ML home divergence
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Edmonton Oilers -1.5
+4.8 EV 64% 1.0u
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
+2.1 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL under 6.5
+1.2 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 62%
Edmonton Oilers -175
  • Extreme institutional whale consensus ($2.7M vol, 100 wallets 85% home)
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Edmonton Oilers -1.5
  • Strong 11% sharp divergence on home puck line vs Pinnacle fair value
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 6.5
  • NHL variance + home injury lambda adj (-12.6%) caps scoring
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Edmonton ML +1.9 EV w/ 20.9% sharp edge + extreme whales despite injuries; Ducks +2 sharp cover
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