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Minnesota Twins
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Boston Red Sox
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Boston Red Sox
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
Austin Martin
(CF)
day-to-day — Martin was removed after three innings of Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates after sustaining a concussion, Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Day-To-Day
Julian Merryweather
(RP)
out — The Twins reassigned Merryweather (hamstring) to minor-league camp Monday.
Out
Walker Jenkins
(CF)
out — Jenkins (hamstring) is expected to be ready for the start of the Triple-A St. Paul Saints season, the Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Out
Trevor Larnach
(RF)
day-to-day — The Twins and Larnach avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $4.475 million contract Thursday, Darren Wolfson of Channel 5 Saint Paul reports.
Day-To-Day
Travis Adams
(RP)
day-to-day — The Twins announced Sunday that Adams has been diagnosed with right elbow inflammation and won't resume throwing until at least next weekend, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
David Festa
(SP)
out — Festa (shoulder) remains shut down from throwing and is expected to begin the season on the injured list, the Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Out
Pablo Lopez
(SP)
60-day IL — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.
60-Day-IL
Cory Lewis
(SP)
out — Twins head trainer Nick Paparesta said Thursday that Lewis (shoulder) is still a couple weeks away from throwing off a mound, Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Out
Matt Canterino
(SP)
out — Canterino (shoulder) will be with the Twins in big-league spring training but isn't expected to pitch during camp as he continues to recover from shoulder surgery, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
Out
Boston Red Sox
Brendan Rodgers
(2B)
out — Rodgers recently underwent right shoulder labral revision surgery, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Out
Triston Casas
(1B)
out — Casas (knee) was able to take simulated at-bats in a minor-league game Tuesday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
Out
Vinny Nittoli
(RP)
out — Nittoli (elbow) will undergo an internal brace procedure and miss the entire 2026 season, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
Out
Romy Gonzalez
(1B)
60-day IL — Gonzalez will have his left shoulder injury evaluated Tuesday to determine whether he needs to undergo surgery, Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Alec Gamboa
(P)
day-to-day — Manager Alex Cora said Saturday that Gamboa is dealing with an elbow injury and will be shut down for at least three days, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Day-To-Day
Kutter Crawford
(SP)
out — Crawford (wrist/illness) will throw a live batting practice session Friday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.
Out
Anthony Seigler
(2B)
day-to-day — The Red Sox acquired Seigler in a trade with the Brewers on Monday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Hobie Harris
(RP)
out — Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Monday that Harris has been shut down due to forearm tightness, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
Out
Tanner Houck
(SP)
60-day IL — Houck (elbow) began a throwing program Monday with 25 throws from 45 feet, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Minnesota Twins
66%
TOSS-UP
"Twins ML +2.1 EV: BOS missing Casas/Crawford (-15% offense/starting pitching) vs Twins Bradley/Oviedo leaders"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no odds available
Movement
N/A
Slight edge on Twins ML at estimated -110 fair odds vs market prior
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
48%
Boston Red Sox +110
- Home opener Fenway boost (+3% historical win rate)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Fenway opener toss-up marred by injuries both ways — model sees -1.2 EV on home dog, PASS until market forms.
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