Home › MLB › New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
MLB
New York Mets
New York Mets
Mets
Colorado Rockies
Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +33.2% EV
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
New York Mets New York Mets -1.5
"Coors misprice: 20-22 projected total vs 11.0 line, +15.2pp over edge & 24.4 EV/100"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
65%
Edge
+15.2%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Mets None
56%
TOTAL over 11.0
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 16.7% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$378147 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (81% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 179 trades Kalshi: 94 trades Largest: $25650
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +149.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +11.5
Win Prob
35.5%
ML
182 / -182

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

New York Mets

Colorado Rockies

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 123 / -147 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 127 / -140 -
Value Line - 128 / -159 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-250) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-121) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 10.5 (-116)
De-Vigged Fair Value -114 / 114 134 / -134 O/U -109 / 109
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

New York Mets

K
Kodai Senga
(SP) 15-day IL — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza told reporters that Senga (back) played catch Wednesday, and the latter is progressing in his recovery, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.
15-Day-IL
A
A.J. Minter
(RP) 15-day IL — The Mets pulled Minter (lat) from his rehab assignment with Triple-A Syracuse on Wednesday due to left hip discomfort, Abbey Mastracco of the New York Daily News reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Ronny Mauricio
(SS) 10-day IL — Mauricio suffered a fractured left thumb in Saturday's loss to the Angels and will be placed on the 10-day injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jose Rojas
(3B) day-to-day — The Mets signed Rojas to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
N
Nick Burdi
(RP) day-to-day — The Mets reassigned Burdi to minor-league camp Tuesday.
Day-To-Day
J
Joe Jacques
(RP) day-to-day — The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Joey Gerber
(RP) 15-day IL — Gerber (finger) struck out two and allowed two hits over a scoreless inning during his rehab appearance Tuesday at Triple-A Syracuse.
15-Day-IL
J
Jorge Polanco
(1B) 10-day IL — Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns said last Friday that Polanco (wrist/Achilles) has resumed performing baseball activities but is considered week-to-week in his recovery from a pair of injuries, SNY.tv reports.
10-Day-IL
L
Luis Robert Jr.
(CF) 10-day IL — The Mets are expected to place Robert (back) on the 10-day injured list, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.
10-Day-IL
F
Francisco Lindor
(SS) 10-day IL — Lindor (calf) will wear a boot for the next week and remain shut down for at least three weeks, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
K
Kevin Herget
(RP) day-to-day — Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jared Young
(1B) 10-day IL — The Mets placed Young on the 10-day injured list Wednesday, retroactive to Monday, due to a meniscus tear in his left knee.
10-Day-IL
M
Mike Tauchman
(RF) out — Tauchman underwent surgery Thursday to repair the torn meniscus in his left knee, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
Out
N
Nate Lavender
(RP) day-to-day — Lavender (elbow) cleared outright waivers Wednesday and was returned to the Mets.
Day-To-Day
J
Justin Hagenman
(RP) 60-day IL — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.
60-Day-IL
R
Robert Stock
(RP) out — Stock experienced shoulder discomfort while playing with Team Israel in the World Baseball Classic and will undergo testing, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.
Out
G
Grae Kessinger
(3B) out — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said that Kessinger will get imaging done after suffering a left knee injury in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals, SNY Mets reports.
Out
D
Dedniel Nunez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Mets transferred Nunez (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tylor Megill
(SP) 60-day IL — The Mets and Megill (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.5 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reed Garrett
(RP) 60-day IL — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

J
Jeff Criswell
(RP) 60-day IL — Criswell (elbow) made the second appearance of his rehab assignment with High-A Spokane on Sunday, striking out two over a perfect inning.
60-Day-IL
R
Ryan Feltner
(SP) 15-day IL — Feltner (elbow) is slated to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
15-Day-IL
M
McCade Brown
(SP) 60-day IL — The Rockies placed Brown (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
RJ Petit
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Pierson Ohl
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
C
Case Williams
(SP) day-to-day — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Brayan Castillo
(RP) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jared Thomas
(CF) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Kris Bryant
(DH) 60-day IL — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-250)
Total Over 10.5
Key Injuries
Kodai Senga 15-Day-IL
A.J. Minter 15-Day-IL
Jeff Criswell 60-Day-IL
Ryan Feltner 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Mets 58% Lean
"Coors misprice: 20-22 projected total vs 11.0 line, +15.2pp over edge & 24.4 EV/100"
65% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 65%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +15.2%
Line Movement
Current Mets -1.5 -149 / Rockies +1.5 +124 (est), O/U 11.0 -110
Movement No significant line movement detected
Coors Field altitude (+35% over bias, +1.8 runs) Equal injury impacts (-9% both sides, poor quality depth)
Massive +EV on total over from 65.2% posterior vs 50% market prior; ML EV negative due to vig
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega/MC project 20-22 runs (11.2-11.2 exp score) vs soft 11.0 total at Coors (+35% over hist), Bayesian +15.2pp over edge w/65% post. Sharp on Mets run line (16.7% edge) but extreme $373k whales (81% conf) on Rockies ML splits action; ML EV neg @ -149 juice. No pitchers/injuries balanced, cap conf despite blowout total value.
SHARP MONEY
16.7% sharp edge on spread away side; weak 0.3% on ML away
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD New York Mets -1.5
+3.2 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Mets None
-7.1 EV 56%
TOTAL over 11.0
+24.4 EV 62% 1.0u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 56%
New York Mets -149
  • Bayesian posterior 55.6% vs devigged prior 55.2% (+0.5pp edge)
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
New York Mets -1.5
  • Sharp 16.7% divergence + +33% EV on away spread vs retail at other books
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 62%
OVER 11.0
  • Bayesian over posterior 65.2% (+15.2pp edge); omega/MC project 20-22 total vs market 11.0
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Rockies +3 (56% cover, +7.5 EV) as Omega 0 vs mkt -3; MC under 22.5 76%
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE