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MLB
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
Twins
New York Yankees
Yankees
New York Yankees
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
55% Lean
55% Lean
MONEYLINE
New York Yankees New York Yankees None
Win Prob
66%
Size
0.5u
SPREAD New York Yankees -1.5 -1.5
55%
TOTAL under 10.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$189050 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 108 trades Kalshi: 1 trades Largest: $7777

Player Props Engine

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Minnesota Twins

New York Yankees

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Market Consensus - -181 / 165 ↑ -
Market Consensus -1.5 (111) - -
Market Consensus - - Over 10.0 (-101)
De-Vigged Fair Value 117 / -117 -174 / 174 O/U 105 / -105
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

B
Byron Buxton
(CF) day-to-day — Buxton (hip) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Astros.
Day-To-Day
A
Anthony Banda
(RP) 15-day IL — The Twins placed Banda on the 15-day injured list Monday with a left lat strain.
15-Day-IL
B
Bailey Ober
(SP) 15-day IL — Ober (elbow) struck out one batter and allowed three earned runs on seven hits and no walks over 3.1 innings in a rehab start Sunday with High-A Cedar Rapids.
15-Day-IL
M
Mick Abel
(SP) 15-day IL — Abel will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Ryan Jeffers
(C) 10-day IL — Jeffers (hand) was spotted taking swings in the batting cage and catching a bullpen session Monday, Theodore Tollefson of ZoneCoverage.com reports.
10-Day-IL
G
Garrett Acton
(RP) 60-day IL — Acton (shoulder) resumed throwing off a mound last week, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
C
Cole Sands
(RP) 15-day IL — Sands underwent an MRI on Friday that showed healing in his injured forearm, though inflammation was still present, MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
D
David Festa
(SP) 60-day IL — The Twins announced June 1 that Festa (shoulder) has started a throwing progression, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Pablo Lopez
(SP) 60-day IL — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.
60-Day-IL

New York Yankees

R
Ryan McMahon
(3B) 10-day IL — McMahon (illness) is dealing with food poisoning and will no longer play a rehab game Wednesday with Double-A Somerset, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
10-Day-IL
S
Spencer Jones
(CF) day-to-day — Jones is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Tigers.
Day-To-Day
M
Max Fried
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager Aarone Boone said Tuesday that Fried (elbow) is scheduled to throw another session of live batting practice Sunday, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Trent Grisham
(CF) 10-day IL — Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday on the "Talkin' Yanks" podcast by Jomboy Media that Grisham (hamstring) will play a rehab game with Double-A Somerset on Wednesday before being activated from the 10-day injured list Friday.
10-Day-IL
G
Giancarlo Stanton
(DH) 10-day IL — Yankees manager Aaron Boone said that Stanton (calf) has restarted a running program and will take live at-bats against rehabbing left-hander Max Fried (elbow) on Tuesday, David Lennon of Newsday reports.
10-Day-IL
A
Aaron Judge
(RF) 10-day IL — Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Friday that Judge isn't expected to be ready for a re-evaluation later this week, when he'll be at the four-week mark in his recovery from a stress fracture of the first rib on his right side, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
10-Day-IL
C
Clarke Schmidt
(SP) 60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) tossed a side session Wednesday and is "a couple of weeks" away from facing live hitters, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (111)
Total Over 10.0
Key Injuries
Byron Buxton Day-To-Day
Anthony Banda 15-Day-IL
Ryan McMahon 10-Day-IL
Spencer Jones Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

New York Yankees 55% Lean
OMEGA model sees no actionable edge on this game. No actionable edge detected; poor data quality and market efficiency suggest on Twins @ Yankees.
66% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 66%
Book Implied 66%
Edge 0.0%
Line Movement
Current Home -193 / Away 158; Spread -1.5; Total 10.0
Movement No significant movement detected.
FULL ANALYSIS
Data quality is poor with only 44% signals available. Bayesian fusion shows no edge (0.0pp). Whale signals heavily favor home (65% confidence, $185k volume) but this aligns with market, not an edge. Without pitcher or weather data, confidence is minimal. Recommend pass on all bets.
SHARP MONEY
Whale signals show $185k volume on home side, but whale confidence (65%) aligns with market, not creating an edge.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE New York Yankees None
55% 0.5u
SPREAD New York Yankees -1.5 -1.5
55% 0.5u
TOTAL under 10.0
55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
New York Yankees -193
  • No quantifiable edge; market efficiently priced at -193
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
New York Yankees -1.5
  • No quantifiable edge; spread line is efficient given moneyline
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 10.0
  • Slight under lean due to key injuries to both lineups, but no model confirmation
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Twins +11.5pp Bayesian edge at pick'em vs inflated Yankee market — model sees the value on the Minnesota spread at -110
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