None — our 60.8% posterior exactly matches the -155 implied probability; this is a vig-priced favorite with no exploitable gap
New Jersey Devils None
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -155 / 133 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -150 / 136 | - |
| Value Line | - | -159 / 133 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | -1.5 (163) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | -1.5 (164) ↓ | - | - |
| Value Line | -1.5 (155) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 6.0 (-117) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.0 (-116) |
| Value Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (106) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | 177 / -177 | -143 / 143 | O/U -109 / 109 |
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These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
None — our 60.8% posterior exactly matches the -155 implied probability; this is a vig-priced favorite with no exploitable gap
Market Consensus de-vigged fair value is 51.7% over vs +104 available at Value Line — the only verified +EV spot in this game at +5.4% per $100
Model projection with heavy Edmonton usage concentration (McDavid leads team with 39 points); no bookmaker line available so this is model-implied, capped at 60 for unvalidated roster
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