Mixed Martial Arts
Dom Mar Fan
Fan
Kody Steele
Steele
Player Props Results
Final Box ScoreDom Mar Fan
Kody Steele
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Dom Mar Fan @ Kody Steele
+5.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Dom Mar Fan
58%
Lean
"Institutional whales hammer Dom Mar Fan $213k EXTREME vol (+5 EV -110) in no-data ARTS pick'em"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+5.0%
Line Movement
Current
omega_model: Spread Dom Mar Fan -0.5 (-110) / Kody Steele +0.5 (-110), ML Dom Mar Fan -110 / Kody Steele -110, Total 4.5 (-110 o/u)
Movement
N/A
+5 EV at -110 from 55% model prob vs 52.4% implied, driven by whale signal
FULL ANALYSIS
Zero market/models/injuries but EXTREME whale signal ($213k vol, 9 profitable wallets @81% conf) on Dom Mar Fan forces 55% away prob vs even implied (+5 EV -110). Poor data (24% quality) and N=0 calibration cap at lean; historical overconfidence reduces further. Spread lean most reliable given tier performance.
SHARP MONEY
EXTREME volume tier ($213,314 total, 9 profitable wallets, 81% confidence) equivalent to institutional steam on away
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
57%
Dom Mar Fan -110
- Whale consensus 81% confident on away (EXTREME $213k volume from profitable wallets)
SPREAD PICK
○
58%
Dom Mar Fan -0.5
- Extreme whale volume ($213k institutional tier) on away with no counter signals
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 4.5
- Conservative model total projection in data-poor unknown sport
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Dom Mar Fan ML +100 model (55% our prob): $204k extreme whale volume (85% conf) edges even posterior +10 EV/100
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