Home › NHL › Washington Capitals @ New Jersey Devils
NHL
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Capitals
New Jersey Devils
Devils
New Jersey Devils
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils -115
"Devils ML -115 (55% model vs 53.5% breakeven, +4.3 EV) on home ice + Caps injuries"
EV / $100
+3.1
Win Prob
55%
Edge
+5.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE New Jersey Devils None
67%
TOTAL under 6.5
54%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Washington Capitals

New Jersey Devils

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - -112 / -108 ↑ -
Pinnacle - -107 / -105 -
Kambi - -108 / -108 -
Bovada Best Line -2.5 (350) - -
Pinnacle -1.5 (224) ↓ - -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 3.5 (135)
Pinnacle - - Over 6.5 (104)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Washington Capitals

A
Aliaksei Protas
(C) out — Protas (upper body) won't travel with the Capitals to New Jersey for Thursday's game, per Tom Gulitti of NHL.com.
Out
E
Eriks Mateiko
(LW) out — out
Out

New Jersey Devils

A
Arseny Gritsyuk
(RW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
B
Brett Pesce
(D) out — Pesce (lower body) is questionable to return to the lineup before the end of the 2025-26 regular season, Amanda Stein of the Devils' official site reports Sunday.
Out
S
Stefan Noesen
(RW) Injured Reserve — Noesen (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of the season, Kristy Flannery of The Hockey News reports Sunday.
Injured Reserve
Z
Zack MacEwen
(RW) Injured Reserve — MacEwen had knee surgery and will be lost for the remainder of the season, Kristy Flannery of The Hockey News reports Saturday.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Washington Capitals @ New Jersey Devils
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (350)
Total Over 3.5
Key Injuries
Aliaksei Protas Out
Eriks Mateiko Out
Arseny Gritsyuk Day-To-Day
Brett Pesce Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Washington Capitals @ New Jersey Devils

+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
New Jersey Devils 64% Sharp Lean
"Devils ML -115 (55% model vs 53.5% breakeven, +4.3 EV) on home ice + Caps injuries"
55% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 55%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +5.0%
Line Movement
Current NJ -115 / WAS -105 | Total 6.5 | Spread NJ -115
Movement No movement data
Modest edge on Devils ML after calibration; breakeven 53.5% vs our 55%
Model: 43.4% win rate | n=122 — DDN 1-8 vs Devils, 4-3 vs Caps; cap props at 60 unvalidated
FULL ANALYSIS
Devils slight home edge with Hughes (63 pts) and Bratt (42) outpacing Ovi/Strome amid Caps depth injuries (Protas/Mateiko out); Devils D hit harder (Pesce out) but model sees 55% win prob vs -115 (4.3 EV). NHL totals losing across tiers, fade 6.5. ML profitable in 58-72% historical tier.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD New Jersey Devils -115
+3.1 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE New Jersey Devils None
+4.3 EV 67% 1u
TOTAL under 6.5
+1.2 EV 54% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
New Jersey Devils -234
  • Omega ELO gives Devils 44.7% home win prob vs Poisson 23.6%, blended to 69.9% but no +EV after vig
SPREAD PICK
● 62%
New Jersey Devils PK
  • Omega spread at 0.0 but ELO projects Devils -1.5; Pesce out hurts NJD D but even goals project cover in 51%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 67%
UNDER 19.0 19.0
  • Poisson projects exactly 19.2 combined but NHL lower-scoring bias + injuries to depth players caps offense
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Even 9.6-9.6 Poisson goals but Devils ELO edge + Caps injuries = under 19 +2.1 EV, Ovi goals +3.5 EV
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700