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MLB
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +46.9% EV EARLY VALUE
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 2.2
"Cubs +112 ML +8.1 EV (51% model vs 47% implied) on Omega 0.0 spread vs -2.2 market"
EV / $100
+4.5
Win Prob
51%
Edge
+1.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago Cubs None
59%
TOTAL over 9.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 13.6% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1393227 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (86% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 377 trades Kalshi: 183 trades Largest: $489828
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +2.2
Total
24.0
Edge: +14.5
Win Prob
30.7%
ML
225 / -225

Player Props Engine

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Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -130 / 108 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -124 / 113 -
Value Line - -139 / 110 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (295) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (157) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 9.0 (-118)
De-Vigged Fair Value 169 / -169 -119 / 119 O/U -110 / 110
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs

C
Caleb Thielbar
(RP) 15-day IL — The Cubs placed Thielbar on the 15-day injured list Friday with a left hamstring strain.
15-Day-IL
P
Porter Hodge
(RP) 60-day IL — The Cubs transferred Hodge (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Phil Maton
(RP) 15-day IL — Maton (knee) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Iowa on Friday, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
15-Day-IL
H
Hunter Harvey
(RP) 15-day IL — Harvey (triceps) will restart his throwing program Friday, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
D
Daniel Palencia
(RP) 15-day IL — Manager Craig Counsell said Tuesday that Palencia underwent an MRI that revealed a lat strain, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jaxon Wiggins
(SP) day-to-day — Cubs manager Craig Counsell said that Wiggins was placed on Triple-A Iowa's 7-day injured list Wednesday due to right elbow inflammation, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jordan Wicks
(RP) 15-day IL — Wicks (elbow) struck out two batters and allowed one hit and one walk over three scoreless innings Saturday in a rehab start for Triple-A Iowa.
15-Day-IL
C
Cade Horton
(SP) 60-day IL — Horton (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Thursday and is expected to be sidelined up to 16 months, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Ethan Roberts
(RP) 15-day IL — The Cubs placed Roberts on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with an undisclosed injury.
15-Day-IL
B
Brandon Birdsell
(RP) day-to-day — Birdsell (elbow) will miss the entire 2026 season, Jim Callis of MLB Pipeline reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jeff Brigham
(RP) day-to-day — The Cubs signed Brigham to a minor-league contract Thursday that includes an invitation to spring training, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Justin Steele
(SP) 60-day IL — The Cubs placed Steele (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Austin
(1B) 60-day IL — Cubs manager Craig Counsell said that Austin underwent a patellar tendon debridement procedure on his right knee Tuesday and will be out for "months," Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trent Thornton
(RP) day-to-day — The Cubs signed Thornton (Achilles) to a contract Monday, Tread Athletics reports.
Day-To-Day
S
Shelby Miller
(RP) 60-day IL — Miller (elbow) was placed on the 60-day injured list by the Cubs on Sunday.
60-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

M
Max Muncy
(3B) day-to-day — Muncy (illness/undisclosed) was removed from Saturday's game against the Cubs in the fourth inning, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Day-To-Day
W
Will Smith
(C) day-to-day — Smith isn't in the starting lineup Saturday versus the Cubs due to a tight back, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) threw one-plus inning in a rehab outing with Single-A Ontario on Wednesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and one walk. He didn't strike out any batters.
15-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol's velocity during recent bullpen sessions has reached the high-90s as he rehabs from right shoulder surgery, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz shared on his personal Instagram account Wednesday that he underwent surgery on his throwing elbow.
15-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) had his rehab assignment transferred from Single-A Ontario to Triple-A Oklahoma City, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) resumed swinging a bat over the weekend, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took live at-bats against Blake Snell (shoulder) on Saturday, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
Game Preview
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (295)
Total Over 9.0
Key Injuries
Caleb Thielbar 15-Day-IL
Porter Hodge 60-Day-IL
Max Muncy Day-To-Day
Will Smith Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

+4.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago Cubs 60% Lean Calibrated
"Cubs +112 ML +8.1 EV (51% model vs 47% implied) on Omega 0.0 spread vs -2.2 market"
51% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 51%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +1.0%
Line Movement
Current Dodgers -2.2 / Cubs +2.2 | O/U 9.5 | Dodgers -133 / Cubs +112
Movement No significant movement
Cubs ML +112 offers +8.1 EV at 51% model prob vs 47.2% implied
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega pick'em and MC 11.1-10.4 Cubs edge vs market Dodgers -2.2 with Bayesian -8.1% away value, but extreme whales home $1.2M 86% conf reduces conviction. Total mismatch proj 21.5 vs 9.5 screams over despite poor totals track record. Injuries net slight Dodgers edge but model divergence low agreement.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Chicago Cubs 2.2
+4.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago Cubs None
+8.1 EV 59% 0.5u
TOTAL over 9.5
+12.4 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 59%
Chicago Cubs 112
  • Posterior 51% Cubs win vs 47.2% implied + MC 51.5% away win prob
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Chicago Cubs 2.2
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market -2.2 + MC away cover 51.5% at pick'em projects 56% Cubs +2.2 cover
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 9.5
  • MC proj 21.5 total (10.4-11.1) vs market 9.5 with Omega 24.0 edge 14.5
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Cubs +138 ML +23.8 EV: MC 51% win vs 39% implied, Dodgers injuries -7% + omega even spread
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