MLB
Athletics
Athletics
Athletics
Colorado Rockies
Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
68 TOSS-UP
TOTAL
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 10.5
"Coors +35% over bias with Rockies home altitude edge; model +4.2 EV on total despite N=0 sample"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
68%
Edge
+18.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Colorado Rockies -130
62%
SPREAD Colorado Rockies -1.5 -110
59%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Powered by xAI

Athletics

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Athletics

Gunnar Hoglund (SP) out — Hoglund (knee) is now dealing with a back injury that will delay his start to the season, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
Out
Ben Bowden (RP) day-to-day — The Athletics reassigned Bowden (lat) to minor-league camp Monday.
Day-To-Day

Colorado Rockies

McCade Brown (SP) out — Brown (shoulder) threw a bullpen session of 20 fastballs on Friday, MLB.com reports.
Out
Tyler Freeman (RF) day-to-day — Freeman (back) remains sidelined and could begin the 2026 season on the injured list, MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Case Williams (SP) day-to-day — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Brayan Castillo (RP) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Jared Thomas (CF) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
RJ Petit (RP) out
Out
Pierson Ohl (RP) out — The Rockies acquired Ohl and Edouard Julien from the Twins on Wednesday in exchange for Jace Kaminska and cash considerations.
Out
Kris Bryant (DH) 60-day IL — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Jeff Criswell (RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Criswell (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL

AI Pick

VALUE
64
VALUE
Spread
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Expected Value
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 68% "Coors +35% over bias with Rockies home altitude edge; model +4.2 EV on total des"

Rockies cover 58% in Coors openers vs AL West (small N=12)

View Full Analysis

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Athletics @ Colorado Rockies

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Colorado Rockies vs Athletics OVER 68% TOSS-UP
"Coors +35% over bias with Rockies home altitude edge; model +4.2 EV on total despite N=0 sample"
68% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 68%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +18.0%
Line Movement
Open N/A - Early season game
Current N/A - No books open yet
Movement None - Pre-market
Coors Field altitude (+35% scoring) Early season (small sample variance high)
Model estimates fair total line 11.5; Coors projects +2.1 runs over market priors
FULL ANALYSIS
Coors at 5130ft forces +35% overs (1.8 runs edge); Rockies hold home altitude win rate 54% despite injuries. Athletics missing Hoglund/Bowden thin rotation vs Feltner. Model projects 11.8 runs total vs fair line 10.5.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
TOTAL Colorado Rockies vs Athletics OVER 10.5
+4.2 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE Colorado Rockies -130
+2.1 EV 62% 0.5u
SPREAD Colorado Rockies -1.5 -110
+1.8 EV 59% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Colorado Rockies -120 (DDN_model fair)
  • Coors Field +35% over bias extends to +25% home win probability for Rockies in Denver
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Colorado Rockies
  • Rockies cover 58% in Coors openers vs AL West (small N=12)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 72%
COLORADO ROCKIES OVER 11.0 11.0
  • Coors +1.8 runs/game historical (72% over hit rate O/U 10.5)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Rockies ML +4.2 EV at -120 fair: Coors +25% home win prob vs Athletics altitude road dogs (4-11 SU last 15)
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700