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NCAA Men's Basketball
Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys
Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys
Pomeroys
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Eagles
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Full Game Analysis
NCAA Men's Basketball
Ω DDN SI PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles -15.5
Win Prob
85%
Edge
-5.9%
MONEYLINE Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles None
62%
TOTAL over 149.5
55%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$74716 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (94% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 10 trades Kalshi: 35 trades Largest: $30341

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Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

DDN SI Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
SOU -100 / SAI -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

DDN SI model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.

Game Preview
Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-04T05:08:45.107608 UTC

Model projection, not market-cleared: Burton is the roster's primary high-usage guard and projects 21+ points against a NAIA defensive talent gap. Line is our projected value rounded to 0.5; no market comparison exists so edge_reason references no market.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 60% Lean
DDN SI sees no actionable edge on this game. USI projects -15.5 vs a NAIA opponent, but with no market line and 0 graded outcomes on this slate, there's no verifiable edge to bet — display-only ES across the board.
85% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 85%
Book Implied 91%
Edge -5.9%
Line Movement
Open No market line available (source: omega_model)
Current Model-implied: USI -15.5, total 149.5, ML USI -1000 / SMW +650 (source: omega_model)
Movement None — no market quoting this game
FULL ANALYSIS
No books are touching USI vs Saint Mary of the Woods, so all lines below are our own: model has the Screaming Eagles ~15.5 over an NAIA opponent with ~85% win probability. That fails the -250 value filter for ML and the price contract has no real quotes to bind, so every side ships at PASS sizing rather than a fake edge. The only mildly interesting read is total pace — a runaway typically pads matchup totals — but with zero graded history on this slate (N=0), the totals market stays our weakest lane.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles -15.5
60%
MONEYLINE Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles None
62%
TOTAL over 149.5
55%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 62%
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles None
  • USI is projected ~85% to win outright on the model's D1-vs-NAIA rating gap, but the implied model price (-500 or heavier) fails the moneyline value filter — a heavy no-bet favorite shown for completeness only
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles -15.5
  • D1-vs-NAIA talent gap: model projects a ~15-point differential (USI 82, SMW 67) on scoring model scoring rates and roster depth, with no market line to contradict it
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 149.5
  • Combined model expected scoring of ~149.5 sits at the derived line; a lopsided D1-NAIA matchup typically features transition scoring against a thin SMW defense, but the lean is marginal at best
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
USI projects -15.5 vs a NAIA opponent, but with no market line and 0 graded outcomes on this slate, there's no verifiable edge to bet — display-only PASSES across the board.
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