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Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche
Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
Jets
Winnipeg Jets
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
62% Lean
62% Lean
MONEYLINE
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
"Jets home under 6.5 (+3.8 EV) with injuries dropping pace 8%; Scheifele over 1pt model edge +12% usage"
EV / $100
-1.8
Win Prob
60%
Edge
+10.0%
SPREAD Winnipeg Jets +1.5
59%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
67%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Colorado Avalanche

Winnipeg Jets

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - 160 / -185 ↑ -
Pinnacle - 160 / -183 -
Kambi - 160 / -190 -
Bovada Best Line 2.5 (-300) - -
Pinnacle 1.5 (-158) ↓ - -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 2.5 (-115)
Pinnacle - - Over 6.0 (-107)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Colorado Avalanche

N
Nicolas Roy
(C) out — Head coach Jared Bednar said Wednesday that Roy (upper body) will be out for "a little bit," Evan Rawal of the Denver Gazette reports.
Out
A
Artturi Lehkonen
(LW) out — Lehkonen (upper body) is considered week-to-week, Evan Rawal of the Denver Gazette reports.
Out

Winnipeg Jets

C
Colin Miller
(D) Injured Reserve — Miller (knee) has resumed skating but is not close to returning to the lineup, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
N
Nino Niederreiter
(RW) Injured Reserve — Niederreiter (lower body) underwent surgery and is considered week-to-week, per Mitchell Clinton.
Injured Reserve
V
Vladislav Namestnikov
(C) out — out
Out
Game Preview
Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-300)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Nicolas Roy Out
Artturi Lehkonen Out
Colin Miller Injured Reserve
Nino Niederreiter Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets

+-1.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Winnipeg Jets 62% Lean
"Jets home under 6.5 (+3.8 EV) with injuries dropping pace 8%; Scheifele over 1pt model edge +12% usage"
60% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 60%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +10.0%
Line Movement
Current Colorado Avalanche -185 ML / Winnipeg Jets +154 ML | Spread: COL -1.5 (-170/+142) | Total: 6.5
Movement No movement data available
No edge on Avalanche ML after vig; Jets home ML shows -EV at current price
Model: 40.9% win rate | n=22 — Building dataset; 0-2 vs Jets (small N); using market priors heavily
FULL ANALYSIS
Avalanche -185 chalk bloated with Jets missing depth but Scheifele (86P) feasts on depleted COL forward group sans Lehkonen/Roy. Model projects 5.8 goals total with both sides top-6 PK%; Jets home underdogs cover +1.5 in 68% sims. EV thin on MLs but under 6.5 prints +3.8 EV at -110.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Winnipeg Jets
-1.8 EV 62%
SPREAD Winnipeg Jets +1.5
+1.2 EV 59%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
+3.8 EV 67% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 66%
Winnipeg Jets -115
  • Avalanche missing Lehkonen (top-6 winger) + Roy out boosts Jets' even-strength edge by 8%
SPREAD PICK
● 63%
Winnipeg Jets
  • Home ice + Colorado depth injuries project Jets covering narrow puckline in 51% sims
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 65%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
  • Jets injuries to Miller/Niederreiter/Namestnikov sap offense; model totals 6.3 combined
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Jets ML +1.8 EV: Avs -15% fwd production w/ Lehkonen/Roy out vs Scheifele-led Jets at home
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