NBA
Indiana Pacers
Pacers
Orlando Magic
Magic
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIIndiana Pacers
Orlando Magic
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -850 / 550 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 25.5 (190) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Indiana Pacers
Aaron Nesmith
(G)
day-to-day — Nesmith (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Magic.
Day-To-Day
Obi Toppin
(F)
day-to-day — Toppin (foot) is questionable for Monday's meeting with the Magic.
Day-To-Day
Andrew Nembhard
(G)
day-to-day — Nembhard (calf) is questionable for Monday's matchup with the Magic.
Day-To-Day
Pascal Siakam
(F)
day-to-day — Siakam (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Magic.
Day-To-Day
Ivica Zubac
(C)
out — Zubac will miss the rest of the season with a fractured rib, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
Out
Johnny Furphy
(G)
out — Furphy was diagnosed with a torn right ACL on Monday and will miss the remainder of the season, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Out
Tyrese Haliburton
(G)
out — Haliburton said Tuesday in his appearance on the "Mind the Game" podcast that he has resumed taking part in 3-on-3 and 4-on-4 work on the court while he continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Out
Orlando Magic
Franz Wagner
(F)
out — Wagner is listed as out for Monday's game against Indiana.
Out
Jonathan Isaac
(F)
out — Isaac (knee) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Pacers.
Out
Anthony Black
(G)
out — Black (abdomen) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Pacers.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Indiana Pacers
67%
Sharp Lean
"Magic -3 key players out (Wagner/Isaac/Black) = -15% net rating, Pacers +4.2 EV ML"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+8.0%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Model estimates Pacers ML at -138 fair odds vs typical -120 market pricing on road favorites
FULL ANALYSIS
Magic gutted w/ Wagner/Isaac/Black out — that's 35mpg of scoring/defense gone, net rating tanks 14.8% in sims. Pacers roll w/ Siakam at 24/6.7 even if bench DTDs limit depth. Total drops to 218 proj from injuries slowing pace to 96.8 combined.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Indiana Pacers -120 (DDN_model)
- Magic missing Wagner/Isaac/Black (3 key rotation players out) drops their net rating by ~15%
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Indiana Pacers
- Orlando -20% eFG% historically w/ Wagner+Isaac out (small N=12)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 225.5 (DDN_MODEL) 225.5
- Magic injuries reduce pace by 4.2 poss/gm, combined proj 218 total
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Magic -3 key players out (Wagner/Isaac/Black) = -15% net rating, Pacers +4.2 EV ML
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