Home › Mixed Martial Arts › Tanner Boser @ Gokhan Saricam
Mixed Martial Arts
Tanner Boser
Tanner Boser
Boser
Gokhan Saricam
Saricam
Gokhan Saricam
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Tanner Boser Tanner Boser -0.5
"Boser ML 62% (-130 model) +9.7 EV on veteran edge; striker spot under 2.5 (58%)"
EV / $100
+8.5
Win Prob
62%
Edge
+12.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Tanner Boser None
62%
TOTAL under 2.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

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Tanner Boser

Gokhan Saricam

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
GOK -100 / TAN -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
Tanner Boser @ Gokhan Saricam
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Tanner Boser @ Gokhan Saricam

+8.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Tanner Boser 60% Lean Raw
"Boser ML 62% (-130 model) +9.7 EV on veteran edge; striker spot under 2.5 (58%)"
62% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 62%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +12.0%
Line Movement
Current Tanner Boser -130 / Gokhan Saricam +110 (omega_model)
Movement N/A
striker-vs-striker
+EV on Boser ML; 62% exceeds -130 breakeven (56.5%) by 5.5%
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega model pegs Boser 62% winner on experience/reach edges vs Saricam's power in striker-vs-striker spot (45% KO bias). Projects under 2.5rds at 60% from HW finish rates. All edges marginal with 16% data quality; 0.5u max.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Tanner Boser -0.5
+8.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Tanner Boser None
+9.7 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL under 2.5
+5.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 62%
Tanner Boser -130
  • Boser 62% win prob exceeds -130 breakeven by 5.5%; experience edge vs Saricam
SPREAD PICK
● 60%
Tanner Boser -0.5
  • Model 62% Boser cover prob vs implied 56.5% in striker matchup
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 2.5
  • Striker-vs-striker = 45% KO rate; model projects 60% under 2.5 rounds
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Boser ML -120: UFC vet exp +5.5% prob edge (+10 EV), HW KO styles under 2.5
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