NHL
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 13.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away
Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$379667 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong home consensus (91% of whale volume).
Whales: home
Polymarket: 89 trades
Kalshi: 489 trades
Largest: $66769
Ω OMEGA LINE
OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +1.5
Total
15.5
Edge: +9.5
Win Prob
44.9%
ML
123 / -123
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAUtah Mammoth
Vegas Golden Knights
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -163 / 137 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -155 / 140 | - |
| Value Line | - | -130 / 100 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | -1.5 (-105) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | -1.5 (165) ↓ | - | - |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.0 (104) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | 178 / -178 | -148 / 148 | O/U 110 / -110 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Utah Mammoth
B
Barrett Hayton
Vegas Golden Knights
No injuries reported
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Utah Mammoth @ Vegas Golden Knights
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth
55%
Lean
"Utah +1.5 (55% conf, +4.7pp edge, sharp 13.5%) & Over 6 (60% conf, +15pp) - models see even game, vapor total"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+4.6%
Line Movement
Current
Vegas -1.5 (+100) / Utah +1.5 (-110) | O/U 6.0 (-110) | ML Vegas -155 / Utah +137
Movement
No significant movement
Away injury: Barrett Hayton OUT (-6.3% lambda adjustment)
+4.7pp edge on Utah +1.5 cover per calibrated vs market 50%
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega spread even vs market -1.5 Vegas gives Utah +1.5 54.6% cover posterior (+4.7pp, +15.3% EV at Bovada), confirmed by strong sharp divergence 13.5%. Total crushed with 65.2% over 6.0 prob vs 50% implied, Omega/Dixon-Coles projecting 15-19 goals. Whale extreme on home ML but spread/quant favors away cover; Hayton out minor -6.3% drag.
SHARP MONEY
13.5% sharp edge on spread favoring away +1.5, strong signal (+2 conf boost)
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
59%
Vegas Golden Knights -155
- Home posterior 59.1% near market 60.8% but whale extreme volume 92% on home ($379k)
SPREAD PICK
○
55%
Utah Mammoth 1.5
- Bayesian posterior 54.6% Utah covers +1.5 vs market 50% with Omega spread even at 0.0
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
60%
OVER 6.0
- Over posterior 65.2% vs market 50% with Omega total 15.5 and Dixon-Coles 19.2 combined goals
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Utah +1.5: 13.5% sharp edge +15.3% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (64% cover)
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