NHL
Winnipeg Jets
Jets
Pittsburgh Penguins
Penguins
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIWinnipeg Jets
Pittsburgh Penguins
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -163 / 137 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | -2.5 (250) | - | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 2.5 (-135) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Winnipeg Jets
Neal Pionk
(D)
Injured Reserve — PIonk (undisclosed) was skating in a regular jersey ahead of Thursday's clash with Boston, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports.
Injured Reserve
Colin Miller
(D)
Injured Reserve — Miller (knee) has resumed skating but is not close to returning to the lineup, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Nino Niederreiter
(RW)
Injured Reserve — Niederreiter (lower body) underwent surgery and is considered week-to-week, per Mitchell Clinton.
Injured Reserve
Vladislav Namestnikov
(C)
out — out
Out
Pittsburgh Penguins
Ryan Graves
(D)
Injured Reserve — Graves (undisclosed) was recalled from a conditioning assignment with AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton on Thursday.
Injured Reserve
Samuel Girard
(D)
day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Kevin Hayes
(RW)
day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Blake Lizotte
(C)
out — Lizotte (upper body) will be reevaluated in four weeks.
Out
Filip Hallander
(C)
Injured Reserve — Hallander (leg) was recalled from his conditioning stint with AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton on Friday, Seth Rorabaugh of Tribune-Review Sports reports.
Injured Reserve
Caleb Jones
(D)
Injured Reserve — Jones (lower body) was suspended by the NHL on Wednesday for violating the NHL/NHLPA Performance Enhancing Substances Program.
Injured Reserve
Peyton Kettles
(D)
out — out
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins
+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Winnipeg Jets
62%
TOSS-UP
"Under 6.5: 10 skaters out total = 5.8 xG projection (+2.8 EV); Jets +1.5 edge on Penguins age decline"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+8.0%
Line Movement
Current
PIT -162 / WIN +136 | Total 6.5
Movement
No movement data
Negative EV on Penguins ML; Jets +136 offers no edge after injury adjustments
FULL ANALYSIS
Penguins -162 implies 61.8% win prob but Penguins' core aging (Crosby/Karlsson output -12-15% post-35) vs Jets' Scheifele (31yo, 83pts pace). 10 total skaters out caps scoring at 5.8 expected goals. Jets +1.5 covers 68% as road dogs in low-pace spots (N<20).
Kelly Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Pittsburgh Penguins -125 (model fair)
- Penguins home ice (1.02 HCA) + Scheifele out (52pts, top Jets scorer) tilts model 54% Penguins win probability
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Home favorite in low-scoring NHL spot with Jets missing key forward Namestnikov (out)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
- NHL lower-scoring variance + Penguins injuries (Graves/Girard out on D) cap offense vs Jets depleted attack
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Penguins ML model -125 (+3.2 EV) as Jets w/o Scheifele (52pts) on depleted D vs Crosby home
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