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MLS
Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF
CF
0 - 0
LIVE
New England Revolution
Revolution
New England Revolution
Full Game Analysis
MLS
Ω DDN SI PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Inter Miami CF Inter Miami CF -0.5
"Inter Miami's 15-11-6 road record at +100 (50% breakeven) is the cheapest side on the board — 0.5u ML and -0.5 spread LEANs, with the under 3.5 lean on November Foxborough conditions."
EV / $100
+2.4
Win Prob
52%
Edge
+2.5%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Inter Miami CF None
58%
TOTAL under 3.5
58%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$33695 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home Kalshi: 109 trades Largest: $3632

Player Props Engine

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Inter Miami CF

New England Revolution

Live Stats

DDN SI Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
-0.3
Moneyline
NEW 105 / INT -105
Win Probability
49% - 51%

DDN SI model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.

Live Box Score
LIVE
Inter Miami CF
CF
0
-
New England Revolution
Revolution
0

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: Inter Miami CF (+100) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T22:00:31.691044 UTC

Even-money pricing on the league's best road record (15-11-6) against a +205 home ML implies just 50% breakeven, leaving ~2.5pp of edge on the away side.

Spread: Inter Miami CF -0.5 (-105) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T23:04:46.594161 UTC

Inter Miami's 15-11-6 road record ranks among the league's best away profiles, and -0.5 at -105 requires only a one-goal win at roughly even-money risk.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T21:07:16.217412 UTC

Midfield creator with above-average per-match on-target rate for his position; projection is average-based with no market line to compare — low differentiation confidence

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Inter Miami CF @ New England Revolution

+2.4 EV
per $100 wagered
Inter Miami CF 60% Lean
"Inter Miami's 15-11-6 road record at +100 (50% breakeven) is the cheapest side on the board — 0.5u ML and -0.5 spread LEANs, with the under 3.5 lean on November Foxborough conditions."
52% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 52%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.5%
Line Movement
Current Away -0.5 (-105) / Total 3.5; Away ML +100, Home ML +205
Movement No movement data supplied
At +100, breakeven is exactly 50%. Our 52.5% estimate yields +5.0 EV per $100 — thin but positive; sample-size caveats apply as no sport-specific quantitative models were available for this game.
FULL ANALYSIS
Inter Miami's 15-11-6 road record against even-money pricing is the only exploitable divergence here — the spread market shades New England +0.5 to -135 while the ML leaves Miami at exactly 50% breakeven. Gillette in early November points toward a low-event match, which supports both the away side winning narrowly and the under 3.5. No quantitative, injury, or sharp-money data was supplied, so this stays a 0.5u LEAN slate, not a bet.
SHARP MONEY
Multi-book and sharp/public splits were not supplied; the only signal is the internal DraftKings divergence between away ML +100 and the -0.5 spread structure, which weakly favors the away side.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Inter Miami CF -0.5
+2.4 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Inter Miami CF None
+5.0 EV 58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 3.5
+3.6 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Inter Miami CF 100
  • Even-money pricing on the league's best road record (15-11-6) against a +205 home ML implies just 50% breakeven, leaving ~2.5pp of edge on the away side
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Inter Miami CF -0.5
  • Inter Miami's 15-11-6 road record ranks among the league's best away profiles, and -0.5 at -105 requires only a one-goal win at roughly even-money risk
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 3.5
  • November conditions at Gillette Stadium typically suppress scoring, and 3.5 goals is a full half-goal above the standard 3-goal MLS median — the under only needs a two-goal game or regulation result
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
NE is -140 on the spread yet +200 on the ML — that quote gap is the play, +21 EV per 100 on a ~60% home side
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