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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Giants
San Francisco Giants
Full Game Analysis
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Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 155 / -188 ↑ -
Value Line - 145 / -182 -
Sharp Action - - Over 1.5 (150)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) resumed swinging a bat over the weekend, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
10-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz is scheduled for surgery Wednesday to remove loose bodies from his right elbow and will be sidelined until the second half, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.
15-Day-IL
F
Freddie Freeman
(1B) Paternity — The Dodgers placed Freeman on the paternity list Sunday, Jon Paul Hoornstra of Newsweek.com reports.
Paternity
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) tossed a live bullpen session Wednesday, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) is beginning a rehab assignment with Single-A Ontario on Tuesday.
15-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took live at-bats against Blake Snell (shoulder) on Saturday, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Manager Dave Roberts said Friday that Graterol (shoulder) has begun throwing bullpen sessions, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL

San Francisco Giants

J
Jose Butto
(RP) 15-day IL — Butto underwent surgery Saturday to repair an artery in his right arm, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jared Oliva
(OF) 10-day IL — Oliva underwent left hamate bone surgery Thursday in Los Angeles, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
10-Day-IL
S
Sam Hentges
(RP) 15-day IL — Hentges (knee/shoulder) struck out one in a scoreless inning during Triple-A Sacramento's 7-6 win over Tacoma on Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
H
Harrison Bader
(LF) 10-day IL — Bader has been dealing with a minor left hamstring injury since spring training, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Joel Peguero
(RP) 15-day IL — Peguero (hamstring) earned a hold and struck out two in a scoreless inning during Triple-A Sacramento's 5-3 win over Las Vegas on Tuesday.
15-Day-IL
P
Parks Harber
(3B) day-to-day — The Giants announced Wednesday that Harber has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain and will require 4-to-6 weeks of recovery time, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jason Foley
(RP) 60-day IL — Foley (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
60-Day-IL
H
Hayden Birdsong
(RP) 60-day IL — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reiver Sanmartin
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
Rowan Wick
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Randy Rodriguez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
until first pitch
Current Line
Total Over 1.5
Key Injuries
Mookie Betts 10-Day-IL
Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL
Jose Butto 15-Day-IL
Jared Oliva 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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OMEGA ANALYSIS

Crunching the numbers

Full EV analysis, situational factors, and model predictions generate as game time approaches.

Game Analysis

The Los Angeles Dodgers hold a clear edge over the San Francisco Giants with a superior ELO rating of 1559 vs 1444 and a better 10-6 record compared to 7-9. Despite numerous injuries on both sides, Dodgers' depth and ELO-implied 66% win probability point to a road victory. Oracle Park favors pitchers, suggesting a lower-scoring game.
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -155
  • Dodgers' ELO advantage of 115 points translates to 66% win probability, adjusted down 6 points for MLB ML overconfidence and data sparsity
  • Better 10-6 record vs Giants' 7-9 reinforces the edge despite injuries
  • No market odds available, but qualitative value on Dodgers ML
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -4.5
  • ELO-implied spread of -4.6 directly supports Dodgers covering, with rating diff favoring them by 115 points
  • Spread confidence reduced 3 points per rules and another 8% for MLB calibration
  • Injuries temper projection but directional edge holds at low confidence
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 60%
UNDER 7.5
  • Oracle Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions and lack of Poisson/high-offense indicators suggest low scoring; qualitative total around 7-8
  • Both teams' injury-riddled rosters limit firepower
  • Slight boost for MLB totals strength (57% WR) but conservative given no projections
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

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