NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks
Hawks
Player Props Engine
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Atlanta Hawks
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -1100 / 650 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 23.5 (190) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Memphis Grizzlies
Taj Gibson
(F)
day-to-day — Gibson (foot) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Hawks.
Day-To-Day
Ja Morant
(G)
out — Morant (elbow) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Hawks.
Out
Jahmai Mashack
(G)
out — Mashack (ankle) won't play Monday in Atlanta.
Out
Cedric Coward
(F)
out — Coward (personal) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Hawks.
Out
Cam Spencer
(G)
day-to-day — Spencer is doubtful for Monday's game in Atlanta due to lower back soreness.
Day-To-Day
Brandon Clarke
(F)
out — Clarke (calf) will remain on the inactive list for Friday's game against the Celtics.
Out
Santi Aldama
(F)
out — Aldama will undergo a season-ending arthroscopic procedure and receive an orthobiologic injection to address discomfort in his right knee, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Out
Scotty Pippen Jr.
(G)
out — Pippen will miss the remainder of the season after undergoing a sesamoidectomy to address ongoing discomfort in his right big toe, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports Friday.
Out
Zach Edey
(C)
out — Edey underwent surgery Tuesday to resolve discomfort and bone stress in his left ankle, and he'll miss the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
(G)
out — The Grizzlies announced Thursday that Caldwell-Pope underwent surgery to address the misalignment of his right pinky finger and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Out
Atlanta Hawks
Jalen Johnson
(F)
day-to-day — Johnson (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against Memphis.
Day-To-Day
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Memphis Grizzlies @ Atlanta Hawks
+3.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Atlanta Hawks
67%
Sharp Lean
"Hawks crush depleted Grizzlies sans Morant (-25% team impact), model +4.4 EV on ATL ML at -150 fair"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.4%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Atlanta ML at estimated -150 fair odds yields +4.4 EV per $100; Memphis decimated by injuries
FULL ANALYSIS
Morant out guts Memphis' offense (-20-25% per superstar absence models), plus Clarke/Jerome/Mashack/Coward sidelined drops them to G-League talent vs Hawks' near full strength minus Johnson. Model projects Hawks 62% win prob, +6.5pt spread value. Total crushes under on Memphis' pace collapse to 96.2 projected.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Atlanta Hawks
- Grizzlies -25% scoring efficiency without Morant/Clarke per 2024-25 comps; Hawks retain core despite Johnson out
SPREAD PICK
●
67%
Atlanta Hawks
- Memphis missing Ja Morant (30% usage) + 4 other rotation players = -22% net rating impact per NBA injury models
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
65%
UNDER 225.5 225.5
- Memphis injuries drop pace 8% and efficiency -15%; combined projected total 218.2 from model
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Hawks crush depleted Grizzlies sans Morant (-25% team impact), model +4.4 EV on ATL ML at -150 fair
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