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Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
Bears
Seattle Seahawks
Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
Full Game Analysis
NFL
Ω DDN SI PICK +5.1% EV ALIGNED
62% Lean
62% Lean
SPREAD
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears 3.0
"Bears +3 (-102) with the OMEGA line at SEA -2.0 and the -3 key number, plus under 46.5 (-109) vs model total 43.0."
EV / $100
+1.7
Win Prob
54%
Edge
-5.5%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago Bears None
58%
TOTAL under 46.5
61%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 6.0% divergence on spread with strong signal. RLM detected on spread.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$232501 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (71% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 65 trades Kalshi: 19 trades Largest: $51948
DDN SI LINE DDN SI Independent Projection
Spread
-2.0
Edge: +1.0
Total
43.0
Edge: -3.5
Win Prob
54.1%
ML
-118 / 118
⚠
Key Number Alert
KEY NUMBER: Spread at -3.0 — 14.8% of NFL games land on 3. Buying the half point is worth ~7.4% win probability. Pay up to -125 for the buy. OMEGA line (-2.0) disagrees by 1.0 pts — added value in the half-point buy.

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Chicago Bears

Seattle Seahawks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -173 / 148 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -165 / 145 -
Value Line - -175 / 140 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (-115) - -
Market Consensus -3.5 (109) ↓ - -
Value Line -3.0 (-118) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 46.5 (-110)
Market Consensus - - Over 46.5 (-106)
Value Line - - Over 46.5 (-110)
De-Vigged Fair Value 116 / -116 -156 / 156 O/U 102 / -102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago Bears

J
Jack Sanborn
(LB) active — Sanborn (concussion) does not carry an injury designation into Monday's game against the Seahawks.
Active
M
Malik Muhammad II
(CB) questionable — Muhammad (toe) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Seahawks.
Questionable
T
T.J. Edwards
(LB) active — Edwards (hamstring) does not have an injury designation for Monday's tilt against the Seahawks.
Active
D
D'Marco Jackson
(LB) questionable — Jackson (ankle) is questionable to suit up Monday versus Seattle.
Questionable
C
Colston Loveland
(TE) active — Loveland (neck) does not carry an injury designation into Monday's game against the Seahawks.
Active
K
Kyle Monangai
(RB) out — Head coach Ben Johnson told reporters Saturday that Monangai (thumb/toe) will not play against the Seahawks on Monday, Courtney Cronin of ESPN.com reports.
Out
J
Jeffery Simmons
(DT) active — Simmons was traded to the Bears on Thursday, along with a 2028 fifth-round pick, in exchange for first-round picks in 2027 and 2028, as well as a 2027 fourth-round pick, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Active
C
Coby Bryant
(S) Injured Reserve — Coach Ben Johnson said Wednesday that Bryant (knee) will start running again in the "near future," Courtney Cronin of ESPN.com reports.
Injured Reserve
Z
Zavier Scott
(RB) active — Chicago signed Scott from the practice squad to the active roster Tuesday.
Active
J
Jayden Loving
(DT) active
Active
J
Jordan McFadden
(G) active
Active
C
Case Keenum
(QB) active
Active
K
Kyler Gordon
(CB) active — Gordon recorded five tackles (three solo), including 1.0 sacks, in Thursday's 30-24 win over the Patriots.
Active
D
Dillon Thieneman
(S) active — Thieneman tallied eight tackles (three solo), including 0.5 sacks, in a 30-24 victory versus the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
S
Sam Roush
(TE) active — Roush is expected to get more work on offense after Cole Kmet (knee) landed on injured reserve Friday.
Active
K
Kalif Raymond
(WR) active — Raymond did not catch either of his two targets and returned one punt for seven yards Thursday in a 30-24 win over New England.
Active
R
Roschon Johnson
(RB) active — Johnson rushed twice for 13 yards in the Bears' 30-24 victory over the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
M
Montez Sweat
(DE) active — The NFL reinstated Sweat on Friday after he served a two-game suspension for violating the league's performance-enhancing substances policy.
Active
C
Cole Kmet
(TE) Injured Reserve — The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday.
Injured Reserve
R
Rome Odunze
(WR) active — Odunze brought in four of five targets for 69 yards in the Bears' 30-24 win over the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
C
Cairo Santos
(PK) active — Santos went 3-for-4 on field-goal tries and made all three of his extra-point attempts in Thursday's 30-24 win over New England.
Active
D
D'Andre Swift
(RB) active — Swift rushed 22 times for 78 yards and a touchdown and brought in all four targets for 12 yards in the Bears' 30-24 win over the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
L
Luther Burden III
(WR) active — Burden brought in all four targets for 130 yards and a touchdown and rushed once for seven yards in the Bears' 30-24 win over the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
C
Caleb Williams
(QB) active — Williams completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while rushing five times for 18 yards in the Bears' 30-24 win over the Patriots on Thursday.
Active
T
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.
(CB) active — Stevenson (hip) is active for Thursday night's contest against New England.
Active

Seattle Seahawks

C
Charles Cross
(OT) out — Cross (ankle) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Out
T
Tyrice Knight
(LB) active — Knight (hip) doesn't have an injury designation for Monday's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Active
B
Byron Murphy II
(DT) active — Murphy (back) does not have an injury designation for Monday's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Active
V
Velus Jones Jr.
(RB) out — Jones (hamstring) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Out
D
Drew Lock
(QB) questionable — Lock (elbow) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Bears, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports.
Questionable
U
Uchenna Nwosu
(LB) doubtful — doubtful
Doubtful
R
Rashid Shaheed
(WR) out — Shaheed (knee) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Bears, Curtis Crabtree of FOX 13 Seattle reports.
Out
J
Jadarian Price
(RB) Injured Reserve — Price (chest) doesn't have a designation for Monday's game against the Bears but remains on injured reserve, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Injured Reserve
Z
Zach Charbonnet
(RB) active — Charbonnet (knee) does not carry an injury designation into Monday's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Active
C
Connor O'Toole
(LB) active — O'Toole (hamstring) was a full participant in Friday's practice, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports.
Active
C
Chazz Surratt
(LB) active — Surratt (calf) was a full participant in Friday's practice, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports.
Active
D
Drake Thomas
(LB) active — Thomas (ankle) practiced in full Friday, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports.
Active
L
Leonard Williams
(DT) active — Williams (Achilles) was a full practice participant Friday, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports.
Active
B
Brandon Pili
(DT) questionable — questionable
Questionable
A
Anthony Bradford
(G) questionable — questionable
Questionable
P
Patrick O'Connell
(LB) questionable — questionable
Questionable
N
Nick Emmanwori
(S) active — Emmanwori registered four tackles (two solo) Sunday in a 20-3 Week 7 win over the Chiefs.
Active
E
Ernest Jones IV
(LB) active — Jones notched nine tackles (five solo) Sunday in a 20-3 win against Kansas City.
Active
G
George Holani
(RB) active — Holani turned five carries into 11 yards and caught one of two targets for 12 yards during the Seahawks' 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday.
Active
C
Cooper Kupp
(WR) active — Kupp caught both of his targets for 20 yards in a 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday.
Active
T
Tory Horton
(WR) active — Horton failed to haul in his lone target and returned two kickoffs for 60 yards during the Seahawks' 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday.
Active
B
Beau Stephens
(G) active
Active
R
Robert Henry Jr.
(RB) active
Active
J
Jason Myers
(PK) active — Myers went 2-for-2 on field-goal tries and made both of his PATs during Sunday night's 20-3 win over the Chiefs.
Active
S
Sam Darnold
(QB) active — Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Sunday's 20-3 win over the Chiefs. He added two rushing attempts for 17 yards.
Active
Game Preview
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
until kickoff
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (-115)
Total Over 46.5
Key Injuries
Jack Sanborn Active
Malik Muhammad II Questionable
Charles Cross Out
Tyrice Knight Active
Analysis starts at kickoff

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Chicago Bears 3.0 (-102) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T00:13:24.225581 UTC

OMEGA line (scoring model+team strength) projects SEA -2.0 vs market -3.0, and the -3 key number (14.8% of NFL games land on 3) makes +3 with the half-point cushion mathematically valuable at -102 juice.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-02T06:10:21.508928 UTC

Model-projected line (no bookmaker quote supplied); with Rashid Shaheed OUT and Velus Jones Jr. OUT, JSN carries the highest usage ceiling in this passing game.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks

+1.7 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago Bears 62% Lean
"Bears +3 (-102) with the OMEGA line at SEA -2.0 and the -3 key number, plus under 46.5 (-109) vs model total 43.0."
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 60%
Edge -5.5%
Line Movement
Current Spread: SEA -3.0 (-118/-102), Total: 46.5, ML: SEA -170 / CHI +142 (Draft Kings)
Movement No opening line or movement data supplied
Seattle offensive line thin: LT Charles Cross OUT affects protection/collapse Seattle pass-rush depleted: Uchenna Nwosu DOUBTFUL Seattle WR depth hit: Rashid Shaheed OUT, Velus Jones Jr. OUT Chicago rushing degraded: Kyle Monangai OUT; TE Cole Kmet (IR) caps passing game middle-of-field usage
Seattle ML at -170 requires 62.96% breakeven, 8.5 points above our 54.2% posterior — PASS on the juiced favorite per the ML value filter. Chicago +142 breakevens at 41.3% and our implied Bears win prob ~45.8% yields modest positive EV (~+$12 per $100). The real value concentration is on the total: model 43.0 vs market 46.5.
FULL ANALYSIS
OMEGA line (SEA -2.0, win prob 54.2%, total 43.0) disagrees with the market by 1.0 pt on the spread and 3.5 pts on the total. The -3.0 spread sits on the NFL's most common margin (14.8% of games) — Chicago +3 at -102 with the half-point cushion is the safer spread entry, while the under 46.5 at -109 has the cleanest model conflict (Poisson 43.0, decomposed 43.9). Both offenses project 21-23 points with injured supporting casts on both lines. Display-tier sport: no position is validated-edge and confidence is capped accordingly.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Chicago Bears 3.0
+1.7 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago Bears None
+5.2 EV 58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 46.5
+5.5 EV 61% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Chicago Bears 142
  • Our 45.8% Bears posterior exceeds the +142 breakeven of 41.3% by ~4.5 points, while the -170 SEA favorite fails the ML value filter outright (breakeven 63.0% vs 54.2% posterior)
SPREAD PICK
○ 62%
Chicago Bears 3.0
  • OMEGA line (scoring model+team strength) projects SEA -2.0 vs market -3.0, and the -3 key number (14.8% of NFL games land on 3) makes +3 with the half-point cushion mathematically valuable at -102 juice
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 61%
UNDER 46.5
  • OMEGA scoring model/team strength total is 43.0 and the decomposed-ratings model says 43.9 — both sit 2.6-3.5 points under the 46.5 market line, with Seattle missing two receivers and a starting LT and Chicago down its TE1 plus a lead back
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Bears +3.0 at the key number 3 with OMEGA at just -2.0 - grab the half point at -105 while it lasts.
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