Home › NHL › St. Louis Blues @ New York Rangers
NHL
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Blues
New York Rangers
Rangers
New York Rangers
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω DDN SI PICK +6.7% EV
52% Lean
52% Lean
MONEYLINE
New York Rangers New York Rangers None
"Under 5.5 at +110 (+6.7% EV vs Pinnacle fair 50.8%) with under-RLM confirmation — Shesterkin's IR flattens the only edge the -125 Rangers price had."
EV / $100
+0.1
Win Prob
56%
SPREAD St. Louis Blues 1.5
50%
TOTAL under 5.5
55%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors under side. 4.0% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on total.
Sharp: under Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$18790 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (87% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 7 trades Largest: $5726

Player Props Engine

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St. Louis Blues

New York Rangers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -120 / 100 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -115 / 105 -
Value Line - -121 / 102 -
Sharp Action Best Line -1.5 (215) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (217) ↓ - -
Value Line -1.5 (205) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 6.0 (-108)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (-103)
Value Line - - Over 5.5 (-136)
De-Vigged Fair Value 238 / -238 -110 / 110 O/U 103 / -103
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

St. Louis Blues

L
Logan Mailloux
(D) Injured Reserve — The Blues assigned Mailloux (hand) to AHL Springfield for a conditioning assignment Monday.
Injured Reserve
C
Colton Parayko
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
T
Torey Krug
(D) Injured Reserve — Krug (ankle) was placed on long-term injured reserve by the Blues on Monday, per PuckPedia.
Injured Reserve
D
Dillon Dube
(C) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
T
Tyler Tucker
(D) Injured Reserve — Tucker had arthroscopic knee surgery and will be re-assessed in six weeks, the team announced Wednesday.
Injured Reserve

New York Rangers

S
Sean Durzi
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
I
Igor Shesterkin
(G) Injured Reserve — Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports Sunday.
Injured Reserve
J
Joe Veleno
(C) Injured Reserve — Veleno (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Saturday, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports.
Injured Reserve
J
Joonas Korpisalo
(G) Injured Reserve — Korpisalo (lower body) will miss at least four more weeks, per Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet on Saturday.
Injured Reserve
A
Aidan Thompson
(C) Injured Reserve — ir-nr
Injured Reserve
A
Adam Sykora
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
St. Louis Blues @ New York Rangers
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (215)
Total Over 6.0
Key Injuries
Logan Mailloux Injured Reserve
Colton Parayko Day-To-Day
Sean Durzi Day-To-Day
Igor Shesterkin Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Total: under 5.5 (+110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-03T00:42:26.306135 UTC

Value Line offers under 5.5 at +110 vs a Market Consensus de-vigged fair of 50.8% — +6.7% EV, the largest exploitable gap on this board, with RLM detected on the under (4.0% sharp divergence).

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T23:12:47.876120 UTC

Model projection: Fox leads Ranger D-men in both assists and points (17+16 supplied), running the power play with Shesterkin-era creaseениях shifting shot volume to skaters. No matchup data to verify — modest confidence only.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

St. Louis Blues @ New York Rangers

+0.1 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Rangers 52% Lean
"Under 5.5 at +110 (+6.7% EV vs Pinnacle fair 50.8%) with under-RLM confirmation — Shesterkin's IR flattens the only edge the -125 Rangers price had."
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 56%
Edge 0.0%
Line Movement
Open Home -1.5 (-250/205) / Total 5.5
Current Home -1.5 / ML Home -125 / Away +105 / Total 5.5 (-136 ov / 110 un)
Movement No significant movement detected on line velocity feed
NHL pick generation PAUSED per DDN calibration (ROI -13.9%, CLV beat 25%) — max confidence capped Shesterkin (IR) removes Rangers' goaltending edge; Korpisalo also IR compounds instability Data quality 65% DEGRADED — reduce all confidence by 3
Zero-edge game on the moneyline prior; the only quantifiable positive is the total under at +110 vs Market Consensus de-vigged fair of 50.8% (+6.7% EV). Everything else is vig.
FULL ANALYSIS
Shesterkin and Korpisalo are both on IR, so the -125 home price on New York prices goaltending the Blues don't have to fear — that neutralizes the market's edge and the Bayesian posterior sits exactly on the number (55.6%, +0.0pp). The Blues +1.5 covers 69.2% per simulation but -250 is a trap; at 71.4% breakeven the juice eats the edge. The one genuine number is under 5.5 at +110 on Kambi vs Pinnacle's de-vigged 50.8% fair — +6.7% EV with RLM on the under and 4% sharp divergence; hit it before it juices back. Whales are 87% home-side but whale-vs-sharp conflicts defer to the sharp books, and with NHL PAUSED (ROI -13.9% over 21 picks, CLV beat 25% with 36% showing underperformance risk), sizing stays minimal at 0.5u and everything else passes.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE New York Rangers None
+0.1 EV 52%
SPREAD St. Louis Blues 1.5
-3.1 EV 50%
TOTAL under 5.5
+6.7 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 52%
New York Rangers -125
  • calibrated (55.6% home) sits exactly on the -125 implied price with zero edge — home side is the near-neutral residual rather than a value play
SPREAD PICK
○ 50%
St. Louis Blues 1.5
  • Away covers -1.5 at a 69.2% posterior (highest cover probability on the board), but the -250 price demands 71.4% breakeven — juice exceeds the edge
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 5.5
  • Value Line offers under 5.5 at +110 vs a Market Consensus de-vigged fair of 50.8% — +6.7% EV, the largest exploitable gap on this board, with RLM detected on the under (4.0% sharp divergence)
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Rangers 51.5% posterior matches Kalshi exactly at +0.0pp — NHL is PAUSED, no market price exists, and Shesterkin's IR void makes this a hard pass everywhere except model-only props.
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