Spread: Edmonton Oilers -1.5 (+185)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-07T05:23:18.739924 UTC
No spread edge: fair away 33.2% vs implied 35.1% at +185, sharp +1.5% insufficient to overcome
NHL
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 1.9% divergence on ML with moderate signal.
Sharp: away
Boost: +1
Whale Activity Detected
$37428 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away
Polymarket: 13 trades
Kalshi: 24 trades
Largest: $11550
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAEdmonton Oilers
Anaheim Ducks
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | 117 / -138 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | 120 / -136 | - |
| Value Line | - | 106 / -125 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | 1.5 (-210) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | 1.5 (-209) ↓ | - | - |
| Value Line | 1.5 (-245) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (-133) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.5 (-126) |
| Value Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (-130) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -195 / 195 | 128 / -128 | O/U -118 / 118 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Edmonton Oilers
J
Jason Dickinson
Z
Zach Hyman
A
Alec Regula
R
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
M
Matt Savoie
F
Frederik Andersen
M
Mattias Janmark
J
James Stefan
A
Atro Leppanen
Anaheim Ducks
D
Drew Helleson
T
Troy Terry
I
Ian Moore
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Recorded picks and reasons
These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks
+-7.3 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers
53%
Lean
OMEGA model sees no actionable edge on this game. No model edge (+0.0pp); sharp/whale lean Edmonton but injuries and 44.2% NHL record force .
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
48%
Book Implied
48%
Edge
0.0%
Line Movement
Current
Edmonton Oilers -130 / 6.5
Movement
No significant line movement detected.
FULL ANALYSIS
Books list Edmonton -130 / +1.5 and 6.5 with zero Bayesian edge (47.6% home posterior). Sharp, +EV (+1.1% away), Kalshi 56.5% away, and $37K STRONG whale volume all lean Edmonton, but both rooms are depleted (away -25.0%, home -18.9%) and DDN is 44.2% in NHL. No spread/total posteriors, no movement, so this is a pass-lean to Edmonton and under 6.5 only on sharp side.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 1.9% ML to away and 1.7% spread to away with moderate signal, no RLM; +1.1% +EV on away -125 and whale STRONG $37,428 to AWAY confirm, but Bayesian edge +0.0pp and heavy mutual injuries limit conviction.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
53%
Edmonton Oilers -130
- Sharp + whale consensus favors Edmonton but model posterior equals market (52.4% vs 52.4%)
SPREAD PICK
○
54%
Edmonton Oilers -1.5
- Cross-market CONFIRMED (ML and spread both away) with sharp 1.7% to away, but no spread posterior available
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
52%
UNDER 6.5
- Sharp side is under (1.0% moderate) with mutual critical injuries suppressing scoring
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Ducks moneyline at slight edge due to massive Oilers injury list (Hyman, RNH out) – but no market odds to confirm value, so only a lean.
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