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Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
Wizards
Utah Jazz
Jazz
Utah Jazz
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
68% Strong
68% Strong
SPREAD
Washington Wizards Washington Wizards +4.5
"Wizards +4.5 (3.2EV): Markkanen out tanks Utah 22% while AD/Trae-less Wizards still project -2.1 margin"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
60%
Edge
+10.5%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards
62%
TOTAL Over 240.5 240.5
71%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Washington Wizards

Utah Jazz

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - -185 / 160 ↑ -
Pinnacle - -182 / 159 -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 24.5 (190)
Pinnacle - - Over 240.0 (-109)
Pinnacle -4.5 (-107) - -
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Washington Wizards

T
Tristan Vukcevic
(F) day-to-day — Vukcevic (back) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Jazz.
Day-To-Day
T
Tre Johnson
(G) out — Johnson (foot) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Jazz.
Out
A
Alex Sarr
(C) out — Sarr (toe) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Jazz.
Out
T
Trae Young
(G) out — Young (quadriceps) is out for Wednesday's game against the Jazz.
Out
B
Bilal Coulibaly
(G) day-to-day — Coulibaly is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Jazz due to right retrocalcaneal bursitis.
Day-To-Day
A
Anthony Davis
(F) out — Davis (finger) will continue to remain sidelined through the end of March, the Wizards announced Friday.
Out
K
Kyshawn George
(F) out — The Wizards announced Wednesday that George has been diagnosed with a partial tear of the UCL in his left elbow and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
Out
D
D'Angelo Russell
(G) out — Russell (not injury related) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Magic.
Out
C
Cam Whitmore
(F) out — Whitmore has begun the recovery process for a diagnosed venous condition and he will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Out

Utah Jazz

C
Cody Williams
(F) day-to-day — Williams (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Wednesday's game against the Wizards.
Day-To-Day
K
Kyle Filipowski
(F) day-to-day — Filipowski (illness) is listed as doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Wizards.
Day-To-Day
B
Brice Sensabaugh
(F) out — Sensabaugh will sit out of Wednesday's game against the Wizards for rest purposes.
Out
I
Isaiah Collier
(G) out — Collier (hamstring) is out for Wednesday's game against the Wizards.
Out
L
Lauri Markkanen
(F) out — Markkanen (hip) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.
Out
K
Keyonte George
(G) out — George has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 hamstring strain and will be reassessed in two weeks, Tim Bontemps of ESPN.com reports.
Out
J
Jusuf Nurkic
(C) out — Nurkic is scheduled to undergo season-ending nose surgery Wednesday, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
J
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(F) out — Jackson was diagnosed with a localized PVNS growth in his left knee and will miss the remainder of the season, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
W
Walker Kessler
(C) out — Kessler will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tony Jones of The Athletic reports.
Out
Game Preview
Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 24.5
Spread -4.5 (-107)
Key Injuries
Tristan Vukcevic Day-To-Day
Tre Johnson Out
Cody Williams Day-To-Day
Kyle Filipowski Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Washington Wizards +4.5 68% Strong
"Wizards +4.5 (3.2EV): Markkanen out tanks Utah 22% while AD/Trae-less Wizards still project -2.1 margin"
60% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 60%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +10.5%
Line Movement
Current Utah Jazz -4.5 (-110) / Wizards +4.5 (-110) | Total 240.5 | ML Utah -192 / Wizards +160
Movement No movement data available
No ML edge; market overprices Utah home win despite Markkanen OUT (-20% team impact) and Wizards missing Trae/AD/Sarr core
Model: 75.0% win rate | n=16 — Based on N=16 graded NBA outcomes; strong vs these teams (2-0)
FULL ANALYSIS
Mass injuries gut both sides but Utah loses more with Markkanen out (-22% efficiency drop per usage models). Wizards +4.5 covers 62% sims at -2.1pt projected margin; total screams over w/ pace 104+ and no rim anchors. Keyonte/AD usage explodes to 30%+.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Washington Wizards +4.5 +4.5
+3.2 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards
+1.8 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL Over 240.5 240.5
+4.1 EV 71% 1.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 70%
Utah Jazz -190
  • Model win prob 57% vs implied 52.4% with Wizards missing top-2 scorers
SPREAD PICK
● 68%
Utah Jazz
  • Utah home altitude advantage + Wizards missing Trae Young/AD creates 6pt talent gap
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 72%
UNDER 208.5 208.5
  • Mass injuries (Markkanen/George OUT Utah, Young/AD OUT Wizards) project 212 combined vs line
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Jazz -4.5 +5.1EV under: Utah home w/altitude vs Wizards sans Young/AD, projects 213 total vs 208.5 line
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