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Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
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Charlotte Hornets
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Charlotte Hornets
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
68% Strong
68% Strong
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia 76ers
"Embiid 36% usage spike w/o Maxey vs Charlotte weak interior; Philly ML +4.8 EV, model 112-107 projection"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
62%
Edge
+12.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Philadelphia 76ers -4.5
65%
TOTAL Under 218.5 218.5
67%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Philadelphia 76ers

Charlotte Hornets

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -217 / 192 ↑ -
Pinnacle -6.0 (-102) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 233.0 (-102)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Philadelphia 76ers

K
Kelly Oubre Jr.
(G) out — Oubre (elbow) is questionable for Saturday's game against Charlotte.
Out
T
Tyrese Maxey
(G) out — Maxey (finger) is questionable for Saturday's game in Charlotte.
Out
J
Johni Broome
(F) out — Broome underwent a successful partial meniscectomy Saturday to address a lateral meniscus tear in his right knee, per Adam Zagoria of ZagsBlog.com.
Out

Charlotte Hornets

T
Tidjane Salaun
(F) out — Salaun (calf) will remain on the inactive list for Saturday's matchup with the 76ers.
Out
Game Preview
Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets
until tip-off
Current Line
Spread -6.0 (-102)
Total Over 233.0
Key Injuries
Kelly Oubre Jr. Out
Tyrese Maxey Out
Tidjane Salaun Out
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia 76ers 68% Strong
"Embiid 36% usage spike w/o Maxey vs Charlotte weak interior; Philly ML +4.8 EV, model 112-107 projection"
62% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 62%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +12.0%
Line Movement
Open omega_model
Current Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 / Charlotte Hornets +4.5 | Total 218.5 | ML Charlotte +175 / Philadelphia -210
Movement N/A - model generated lines
Philly ML +4.8 EV at -210; edge from Embiid usage spike vs Charlotte weak interior
Model: 67.7% win rate | n=31 — Based on N=31 graded NBA outcomes; strong recent form (1.59u P&L last 7d)
FULL ANALYSIS
Philly holds edge with Embiid (proj 32/12) feasting on Charlotte's undersized frontcourt sans Salaun; Maxey out but PG/Embiid usage jumps 5-7%. Total leans under at 218.5 as guard injuries slow pace to 98 poss (both teams top-12 defensive efficiency w/o stars). Model sees 62% Philly win prob, +4.8 EV on ML.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Philadelphia 76ers
+4.8 EV 68% 1u
SPREAD Philadelphia 76ers -4.5
+3.2 EV 65% 1u
TOTAL Under 218.5 218.5
+2.9 EV 67% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 70%
Philadelphia 76ers -190
  • 58% win prob vs 52.6% implied with Maxey out but Embiid/PG carry depleted Sixers
SPREAD PICK
● 68%
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Embiid + Paul George healthy for Philly vs Charlotte missing key rotation depth
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 66%
UNDER 212.5 212.5
  • Both teams missing scoring wings (Maxey/Oubre out PHI, bench-heavy CHA) projects 208 combined
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Embiid/PG healthy Sixers vs depleted Hornets bench = 58% win prob (+4.8 EV ML), under 212.5 from scoring cascade
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