NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 9.9% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home
Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$438119 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong home consensus (91% of whale volume).
Whales: home
Polymarket: 61 trades
Kalshi: 94 trades
Largest: $11001
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAAnaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -160 / 135 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -159 / 140 | - |
| Value Line | - | -157 / 138 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | -2.5 (250) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | -1.5 (160) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 2.5 (-105) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.5 (101) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | 174 / -174 | -150 / 150 | O/U 108 / -108 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Anaheim Ducks
R
Radko Gudas
Vegas Golden Knights
No injuries reported
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
+8.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Vegas Golden Knights
65%
Sharp Lean
"VGK puck -1.5: sharps 9.9% edge + $438k extreme whales 91% home vs Gudas-out Ducks (+8.2 EV)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
62%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+12.0%
Line Movement
Current
ML: VGK -162 / ANA +136; Puck Line: VGK -1.5 -162; Total: 6.5
Movement
No significant movement
Away injury disadvantage (Gudas out -6.3%)
Marginal EV on home ML after sharp/whale confirms; stronger on puck line (+27.7% per +EV analysis)
FULL ANALYSIS
VGK home ML/puck efficient at 61.8% implied but sharps show 9.9% spread edge + extreme $438k whales 91% home confirm value before close. Ducks -6.3% from Gudas out boosts lambda home; cross-market home consensus despite total under sharp lean (52% fair). Model anchors Bayesian 62% home, boosted +5 whale/+3 sharp but -3 degraded data caps at sharp lean; avoid high conf on weak NHL totals.
SHARP MONEY
9.9% sharp edge on home spread (strong signal); moderate under total; whales EXTREME volume $438k 91% home (institutional)
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
62%
Vegas Golden Knights -162
- Bayesian posterior 61.8% home matches market but confirmed by extreme whale volume and sharp consensus
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
- Sharp 9.9% divergence + +EV analysis shows +27.7% on home puck line vs fair 36.5%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
57%
UNDER 6.5
- Sharp edge 2.6% under (fair 52%) despite cross-market over lean; NHL totals model weak historically
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Ducks -12.6% injury hit boosts Vegas ML (62% posterior), but +6.8EV on Anaheim +1.5 per Pinnacle fair value
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