MLB
St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals
New York Mets
Mets
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAISt. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Hunter Dobbins
(SP)
out — Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Sunday that Dobbins (knee) will begin the season on the injured list, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Out
Lars Nootbaar
(LF)
out — Nootbaar (heels) has been increasing his agility drills and is soon slated to ramp up his running program, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Out
Zack Thompson
(RP)
out — The Cardinals reassigned Thompson (shoulder) to minor-league camp Monday.
Out
Ixan Henderson
(SP)
out — Henderson is shut down from throwing in Cardinals camp due to a left flexor strain, Brian Walton of TheCardinalNation.com reports.
Out
Victor Santos
(RP)
out — Santos (elbow) has compiled a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 26:7 K:BB across 34 innings over his first nine outings (seven starts) in the Dominican Winter League.
Out
Sem Robberse
(SP)
out — Robberse (elbow) signed a minor-league contract with the Cardinals on Monday, which includes an invitation to spring training, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Out
New York Mets
Francisco Alvarez
(C)
day-to-day — Alvarez was removed from Thursday's Grapefruit League game against Houston due to back tightness, Max Goodman of NJ.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Francisco Lindor
(SS)
day-to-day — Lindor (hand) played four innings at shortstop while making his spring debut in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays, but afterwards he wouldn't commit to being ready for Opening Day despite saying that he has "checked every single box," Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Justin Hagenman
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.
60-Day-IL
A.J. Minter
(RP)
out — Minter (lat) hit 93 mph with his fastball in a live batting practice session Friday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Out
Brandon Waddell
(RP)
day-to-day — The Mets outrighted Waddell to Triple-A Syracuse on Friday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Robert Stock
(RP)
out — Stock experienced shoulder discomfort while playing with Team Israel in the World Baseball Classic and will undergo testing, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.
Out
Nate Lavender
(RP)
out — Lavender (elbow) cleared outright waivers Wednesday and was returned to the Mets.
Out
Grae Kessinger
(3B)
out — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said that Kessinger will get imaging done after suffering a left knee injury in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals, SNY Mets reports.
Out
Dedniel Nunez
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets transferred Nunez (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.
60-Day-IL
Tylor Megill
(SP)
60-day IL — The Mets and Megill (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.5 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
60-Day-IL
Reed Garrett
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets
+-1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis Cardinals
60%
TOSS-UP
"Mets w/ Lindor/Alvarez DTD + 3 Out = -0.7 run proj vs Cardinals; model 48% STL win but -EV at +105 fair odds"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
48%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-2.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - Early season game, no lines posted
Current
N/A
Movement
No movement - pre-market
No edge on Mets ML at fair -125; Cardinals +105 offers -EV at model prob
FULL ANALYSIS
Mets hammered by injuries: Lindor/Alvarez DTD cripples top-of-order + bullpen holes, while Cardinals lose depth arms/Nootbaar but lineup holds. Model sees Mets win prob down to 48% vs fair -125 line (52% implied). Total suppressed to 7.6 proj from 9 total absences + cool Citi weather. All low-EV passes at N=0.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
53%
New York Mets -110 (fair model price)
- Home field + Cardinals injuries (Nootbaar out weakens lineup)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Mets home opener edge + STL injuries (Nootbaar out) = +6 EV at -110 model price; 0.5u play
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