NBA
Toronto Raptors
Raptors
Utah Jazz
Jazz
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIToronto Raptors
Utah Jazz
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | 500 / -750 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 23.5 (260) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Toronto Raptors
Collin Murray-Boyles
(F)
out — Murray-Boyles (thumb) won't play Sunday in Phoenix, Michael Grange of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
Chucky Hepburn
(G)
out — Hepburn (knee) was spotted Wednesday no longer using crutches, Ryan Wolstat of the Toronto Sun reports.
Out
Utah Jazz
Isaiah Collier
(G)
out — Collier (hamstring) won't play Monday versus the Raptors.
Out
Lauri Markkanen
(F)
out — Markkanen (hip) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.
Out
Keyonte George
(G)
out — George has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 hamstring strain and will be reassessed in two weeks, Tim Bontemps of ESPN.com reports.
Out
Jusuf Nurkic
(C)
out — Nurkic is scheduled to undergo season-ending nose surgery Wednesday, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(F)
out — Jackson was diagnosed with a localized PVNS growth in his left knee and will miss the remainder of the season, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
Walker Kessler
(C)
out — Kessler will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tony Jones of The Athletic reports.
Out
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz
+4.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Toronto Raptors
76%
High Edge
"Utah missing Markkanen + George(23.6) + 3 others = 94% TOR win prob vs 88% implied, +8.2 EV ML"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
94%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+44.0%
Line Movement
Current
TOR -12.5 (-110) / UTA +12.5 (-110); O/U 231.5; ML TOR -750 / UTA +525
Movement
No movement data available
+8.2 EV on TOR ML at -750; spread offers +4.1 EV at -110
Model: 100.0% win rate | n=1
— N=1 too small for full confidence; using injury impact priors (-25% per superstar out)
FULL ANALYSIS
Utah's injury apocalypse (Markkanen, George 23.6 PPG, Collier, Nurkic, Jackson Jr. all OUT) leaves them with no scoring, no PG, no size vs Toronto's intact roster missing only bench guys. Model sees 94% TOR win prob vs market's 88%, +8.2 EV on ML. Under has edge as depleted Jazz can't score--projected total ~210.
SHARP MONEY
Line this extreme with Utah missing 5 key players (Markkanen, George, Collier, Nurkic, Jackson Jr.) screams sharp action on Toronto
Recommended Sizing
2u
Positive EV with multiple confirming factors. Standard sizing.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
72%
Toronto Raptors -800 (DDN_model fair)
- Utah missing Markkanen (26.7 PPG), Nurkic, George, Collier, Sensabaugh = -25% net rating impact per superstar injury model
SPREAD PICK
●
69%
Toronto Raptors
- Jazz 5+ players out triggers 6+pt line move equivalent; model projects Raptors win by 14.2 accounting for altitude fade
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
65%
UNDER 208 208
- Combined injuries to Markkanen/Ingram/Nurkic core slash pace and scoring; model projects 195 total (-13 under fair line)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Raptors -12 vs depleted Jazz (5 key OUT inc Markkanen 26.7PPG), model +6.8 EV ML / +4.2 EV spread
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700