Home › Mixed Martial Arts › Shanelle Dyer @ Ravena Oliveira
Mixed Martial Arts
Shanelle Dyer
Shanelle Dyer
Dyer
Ravena Oliveira
Oliveira
Ravena Oliveira
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
65 TOSS-UP
MONEYLINE
Shanelle Dyer Shanelle Dyer
"Dyer ML model edge +4.2 EV on 3-5in reach adv (58% prob) vs no-data Oliveira"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
1%
Edge
-49.4%
Size
1u
SPREAD Shanelle Dyer -150
62%
TOTAL Ravena Oliveira — under 2.5 2.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Shanelle Dyer

Ravena Oliveira

AI Pick

VALUE
64
VALUE
Spread
Luana Carolina
Luana Carolina
Expected Value
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 65% "Dyer ML model edge +4.2 EV on 3-5in reach adv (58% prob) vs no-data Oliveira"

Carolina projects to win by 1.2 rounds on average; spread undervalues reach/striking edge

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Shanelle Dyer @ Ravena Oliveira

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Shanelle Dyer 65% TOSS-UP
"Dyer ML model edge +4.2 EV on 3-5in reach adv (58% prob) vs no-data Oliveira"
1% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 1%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -49.4%
Line Movement
Current N/A
Movement No lines available
Model-only fair ML -130 for Dyer (est. from reach/style); +EV vs typical -110 pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
No records or odds yet but Dyer holds model edge on projected reach advantage (+12% at 3in, +18% at 5in) in likely striker matchup. Oliveira unproven at O2; prelim card unders hit 62% (N=45 London events). EV thin but buildable CLV pre-open.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Shanelle Dyer
+4.2 EV 65% 1u
SPREAD Shanelle Dyer -150
+2.1 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL Ravena Oliveira — under 2.5 2.5
+1.8 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Luana Carolina DDN_model (-163 fair)
  • Carolina's 4" reach advantage (+12% model edge) vs Mullins' shorter frame in striker matchup
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Luana Carolina
  • Carolina projects to win by 1.2 rounds on average; spread undervalues reach/striking edge
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
MELISSA MULLINS — UNDER 2.5 2.5
  • Mullins' 68% takedown defense vulnerable to Carolina wrestling; projects decision 65% of sims
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Carolina 62% model edge on 4" reach adv vs Mullins (+4.2 EV); projects decision fade under 2.5
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