Home › NBA › New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
NBA
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +61.7% EV
57% Lean
57% Lean
SPREAD
Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia 76ers -1.2
"Philly +6.9% net injury edge anchors 53% home posterior vs sharp away contrarian signals (+1.2 EV spread)"
EV / $100
+1.2
Win Prob
53%
Edge
+3.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Philadelphia 76ers None
55%
TOTAL over 118.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 20.7% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on spread.
Sharp: over Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$3486964 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away Polymarket: 852 trades Kalshi: 1156 trades Largest: $93536

Player Props Engine

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New York Knicks

Philadelphia 76ers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 105 / -125 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 107 / -120 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 22.5 (225)
Market Consensus - - Over 213.5 (-106)
Market Consensus Best Line 2.0 (-109) - -
Value Line 1.5 (-109) ↓ - -
De-Vigged Fair Value -103 / 103 113 / -113 O/U 101 / -101
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

New York Knicks

O
OG Anunoby
(F) day-to-day — Anunoby (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday's Game 4 against the 76ers.
Day-To-Day

Philadelphia 76ers

J
Joel Embiid
(C) day-to-day — Embiid (hip) is listed as probable for Sunday's Game 4 against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 22.5
Spread 2.0 (-109)
Key Injuries
OG Anunoby Day-To-Day
Joel Embiid Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers

+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia 76ers 57% Lean
"Philly +6.9% net injury edge anchors 53% home posterior vs sharp away contrarian signals (+1.2 EV spread)"
53% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 53%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +3.0%
Line Movement
Current Philadelphia 76ers -1.2 / New York Knicks +1.2 | Total 118.5 | ML Philadelphia 76ers -113 / New York Knicks -102
Movement No significant line movement detected
Injury advantage: Home +6.9% net (Knicks -10.4% vs Philly -3.5%)
No edge on ML; market efficient at 53% home
FULL ANALYSIS
Knicks hit harder by injuries (-10.4% lambda adj vs Philly -3.4%), netting +6.9% home edge in low-data spot. Posterior 53% home ML matches efficient market despite away sharp/PM/whale signals (extreme $2.4M volume). Strong 18.4% sharp over edge on undervalued 118.5 total. Degraded data caps all at lean tier.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 1.8% spread away (RLM yes), 0.7% ML away; strong 18.4% total over
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Philadelphia 76ers -1.2
+1.2 EV 57% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Philadelphia 76ers None
+0.2 EV 55% 0.5u
TOTAL over 118.5
+3.1 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Philadelphia 76ers -113
  • Bayesian posterior 53% home win probability fuses market prior; injuries favor Philly
SPREAD PICK
○ 57%
Philadelphia 76ers -1.2
  • Net injury impact +6.9% home edge with Knicks multiple DTD (Hart/Robinson/Anunoby) vs Embiid solo
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 118.5
  • Strong sharp signal 18.4% edge on over + +EV at retail books; low total undervalues scoring
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Philly +6.9% net injury edge anchors 53% home posterior vs sharp away contrarian signals (+1.2 EV spread)
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