Mixed Martial Arts
Wes Schultz
Schultz
Ben Johnston
Johnston
Player Props Results
Final Box ScoreWes Schultz
Ben Johnston
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Wes Schultz @ Ben Johnston
+-1.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Wes Schultz
55%
Lean
"50/50 ARTS data void; Schultz away ML +2 EV on $500 whale signal"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
49%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-1.0%
Line Movement
Current
omega_model: Spread 0 (Ben Johnston -0 / Wes Schultz +0), ML Home +100 / Away +100, Total 20.5
Movement
No movement detected
No edge in calibrated (50/50 fused); minor adjustment for whale
FULL ANALYSIS
Data void (24% quality) with 50/50 Bayesian posterior and no models/injuries/odds. Minor whale ($500, 100% away) tilts to Wes Schultz ML +2 EV at +100 model line. Spread/total neutral/pass; props model-generated capped at 60 conf unvalidated.
SHARP MONEY
Minor whale volume ($500, 1 wallet, 100% on away); volume tier MINOR (+1 conf max)
MONEYLINE PICK
○
56%
Wes Schultz 100
- 51% win prob vs 50% implied (+1% edge) from minor whale signal ($500 volume at 100% away confidence)
SPREAD PICK
○
55%
Wes Schultz 0.0
- Model even spread at 0 with 51% cover prob for away but -110 vig erodes edge
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
52%
UNDER 20.5
- Model neutral total projection at 20.5 with no pace/injury data; historical totals losing (48.7% WR)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Pick'em ARTS matchup, $500 whale on Schultz (+1% edge) but -2.6 EV vs vig; hard pass on N=0 spot
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