NBA
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
New York Knicks
Knicks
New York Knicks
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +56.4% EV
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Chicago Bulls Chicago Bulls 15.5
"Bulls +15.5 (Pinnacle fair pick'em) + over 236.5 (20.2% sharp edge, +57.5% EV); fade -1600 juice trap"
EV / $100
+3.1
Win Prob
88%
Edge
+38.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
50%
TOTAL over 236.5
67%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 20.1% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on total.
Sharp: over Boost: +2

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Chicago Bulls

New York Knicks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -1400 / 750 -
Market Consensus - -1286 / 817 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 26.5 (210)
Market Consensus - - Over 237.5 (-110)
Market Consensus -15.5 (-109) - -
Fair Value PIN DE-VIG -103 / 103 -851 / 851 O/U -102 / 102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago Bulls

G
Guerschon Yabusele
(F) day-to-day — Yabusele (ankle) is probable for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
L
Lachlan Olbrich
(C) day-to-day — Olbrich (foot) is probable for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
N
Nick Richards
(C) out — Richards (elbow) is questionable for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Out
M
Mac McClung
(G) day-to-day — McClung (abdomen) is probable for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
T
Tre Jones
(G) day-to-day — Jones is questionable for Friday's game against the Knicks with a right ankle sprain.
Day-To-Day
J
Josh Giddey
(G) day-to-day — Giddey (hamstring) is questionable for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
A
Anfernee Simons
(G) out — Simons (wrist) is out for Friday's game against the Knicks.
Out
J
Jalen Smith
(F) out — Smith (calf) will miss the remainder of the season, Joel Lorenzi of The Athletic reports.
Out
Z
Zach Collins
(F) out — Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
N
Noa Essengue
(F) out — Essengue will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out

New York Knicks

No injuries reported
Game Preview
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 26.5
Spread -15.5 (-109)
Key Injuries
Guerschon Yabusele Day-To-Day
Lachlan Olbrich Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks

+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago Bulls 65% Sharp Lean
"Bulls +15.5 (Pinnacle fair pick'em) + over 236.5 (20.2% sharp edge, +57.5% EV); fade -1600 juice trap"
88% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 88%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +38.0%
Line Movement
Open NY -15.5
Current NY -15.5
Movement No movement
Heavy juice kills value on Knicks ML; breakeven 94.1% exceeds our 88% prob by 6.1%
Model: 44.6% win rate | n=202 — Totals consistently losing; props 0% in lean tier (N small)
FULL ANALYSIS
Knicks -15.5 overjuiced vs Pinnacle fair pick'em (50.2% home); sharp 1.6% edge to Bulls + depleted Chicago roster still offers spread value. Massive 20.2% total divergence with sharp over signal (+57.5% EV at Bovada +215). Model fades heavy ML juice (breakeven 94% > our 88%) per Benter CLV rules.
SHARP MONEY
20.2% sharp edge on total over + weak away signals on ML/spread; Pinnacle fair spread near pick'em despite -15.5 market
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Chicago Bulls 15.5
+3.1 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
-5.2 EV 50%
TOTAL over 236.5
+5.7 EV 67% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
New York Knicks -114
  • Model win prob 56% vs -114 implied 53.3%; profitable ML tier historically
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
New York Knicks -3.0
  • Omega model projects Knicks 103-100 (+3pt edge) despite injuries
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 203.0
  • Model projects 203 exactly but missing stars (Brunson/Giddey out) caps scoring
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Knicks -3 ML value (+3.8EV) as Bulls gutted by 5 key outs including Giddey/Simons despite Brunson sidelined
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