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NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
San Jose Sharks
Sharks
San Jose Sharks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
66% Sharp Lean
66% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks +1.5
"Sharks +1.5 home (model 3.2-2.9) + under 6.5 (proj 5.8) vs Ducks missing 3 top-6; +4.2 EV total"
EV / $100
+2.1
Win Prob
51%
Edge
+1.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE San Jose Sharks -105
62%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
71%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Anaheim Ducks

San Jose Sharks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -105 / -107 ↑ -
Pinnacle 1.5 (-263) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 6.5 (-133)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

J
Jansen Harkins
(C) out — Harkins had hand surgery Monday and is expected to miss about four weeks, the team announced Tuesday.
Out
C
Cutter Gauthier
(LW) out — out
Out
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) out — Johnston (lower body) is expected to miss 3-4 weeks, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News.
Out
P
Petr Mrazek
(G) Injured Reserve — Mrazek underwent season-ending hip surgery Tuesday.
Injured Reserve

San Jose Sharks

J
John Klingberg
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
T
Ty Dellandrea
(C) Injured Reserve — Dellandrea (lower body) is day-to-day, according to Max Miller of NHL.com on Monday.
Injured Reserve
R
Ryan Reaves
(RW) out — Reaves (hand) didn't participate in Monday's practice and is week-to-week, per Sheng Peng of San Jose Hockey Now.
Out
L
Logan Couture
(C) Injured Reserve — ir-lt
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Anaheim Ducks @ San Jose Sharks
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 1.5 (-263)
Total Over 6.5
Key Injuries
Jansen Harkins Out
Cutter Gauthier Out
John Klingberg Day-To-Day
Ty Dellandrea Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Anaheim Ducks @ San Jose Sharks

+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
San Jose Sharks 66% Sharp Lean
"Sharks +1.5 home (model 3.2-2.9) + under 6.5 (proj 5.8) vs Ducks missing 3 top-6; +4.2 EV total"
51% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 51%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +1.0%
Line Movement
Current ANA -115 ML / SJ -105 ML / Total 6.5
Movement No movement data
No edge on ML; vig dominates pick'em pricing
Model: 47.0% win rate | n=100 — N=100 graded; reduce confidence on all picks 3-5 pts due to sub-50% record
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharks home dogs with Celebrini carrying depleted Ducks attack (Gauthier/Harkins out). Model sees 5.8 total goals vs 6.5 line—both bottom-5 scorers, injuries sap depth scoring. Slight fade Ducks road ML overpricing in pick'em spot; 58% divisional under hit rate (N=92).
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD San Jose Sharks +1.5
+2.1 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE San Jose Sharks -105
+1.2 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
+4.2 EV 71% 1.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 66%
Anaheim Ducks -115
  • Sharks missing Couture/Reaves/Klingberg (key scoring/depth); Ducks hold 4-2 model edge vs SJS
SPREAD PICK
● 63%
San Jose Sharks +1.5
  • Puckline value on home dog with -265 juice; 68% historical cover rate for Sharks +1.5 at home vs Pacific
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 68%
UNDER 6.5 6.5
  • Both teams injured/depleted rosters average <5.8 combined goals last 20; NHL bottom-10 pace matchup
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ducks ML -115 +2.8EV (Sharks -25% scoring w/ Couture/Reaves out); Under 6.5 model 5.9 total
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