Ohio State Buckeyes
62%
Lean
★☆☆☆☆
Untested
not on slate
"Model pegs Ohio State ~21 points over CMU (~83% ML) but with zero market quotes, there's no price to bet — best exposure is a small spread lean at OSU -20.5."
No market quotes exist for this game, so all three prices ship as null and the spread (-20.5) and total (149.5) are omega_model projections, not market lines. Model makes Ohio State a heavy home favorite (~83% ML, implied -400 territory), but heavy ML favorites are structurally faded under the -250 rule and there is no price to evaluate anyway. Confidence capped at 62-65 per the unvalidated-edge-slate contract and because early-November NCAAB data is a sub-20 sample.
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.