Home › NCAA Men's Basketball › Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Vanderbilt Commodores
NCAA Men's Basketball
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Deacons
Vanderbilt Commodores
Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores
Full Game Analysis
NCAA Men's Basketball
Ω DDN SI PICK
50% Lean
50% Lean
MONEYLINE
Vanderbilt Commodores Vanderbilt Commodores None
EV / $100
-50.0
Win Prob
88%
Edge
-8.0%
SPREAD Wake Forest Demon Deacons 17.5
58%
TOTAL under 155.5
57%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 1.1% divergence on spread with moderate signal.
Sharp: away

Player Props Engine

Powered by DDN SI

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Vanderbilt Commodores

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -2200 / 1000 ↑ -
Value Line - -3335 / 1150 -
Sharp Action Best Line -17.5 (-110) - -
Market Consensus -17.5 (-106) ↓ - -
Value Line -17.5 (-112) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 155.0 (-110)
Market Consensus - - Over 155.0 (-109)
Value Line - - Over 154.5 (-110)
De-Vigged Fair Value 102 / -102 - O/U 101 / -101
Line Movement
Open Current
Game Preview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Vanderbilt Commodores
until tip-off
Current Line
Spread -17.5 (-110)
Total Over 155.0
Analysis starts at tip-off

Get Daily Picks

DDN SI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2400) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-05T03:36:17.218190 UTC

Rule-based PASS: -2400 breakeven of 96% exceeds any confidence we can defensibly assign in a no-data season-opener spot.

Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 17.5 (-108) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-05T05:41:07.466959 UTC

17.5 points is a large early-season number; lack of validated data on either side and the displayed tier cap argue for the plus-side price at -108.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-05T04:37:10.419048 UTC

Model-projected seasonal-role average slightly above the line; no market line provided for comparison.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Vanderbilt Commodores

+-50.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Vanderbilt Commodores 50% Lean
DDN SI sees no actionable edge on this game. Wake Forest +17.5 at -108 in a data-black-hole opener — the -2400 ML is a hard , and no signal in this slate justifies laying nearly a 3-touchdown spread.
88% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 88%
Book Implied 96%
Edge -8.0%
Line Movement
Current Vanderbilt -17.5, Total 155.5
Movement No opening line history provided; single-book (DraftKings) quote
No injuries reported No rest/travel flags detected Opening-day CBB — no validated form data (N/A records)
ML is unbackable: breakeven at -2400 is 96%, far beyond any defensible model probability. Value, if any, lives in the +17.5 spread price.
FULL ANALYSIS
Vanderbilt -2400 is a no-bet number — the 96% breakeven dwarfs any model probability we can defend in a no-data November spot. The only defensible play is Wake Forest +17.5 at -108: large early-season spreads on unknown rotations regress hard, and nothing in this crop of signals (no sharp splits, no models, no injuries reported) supports laying 17.5. Take the plus side at 0.5u and skip the ML entirely.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Vanderbilt Commodores None
-50.0 EV 50%
SPREAD Wake Forest Demon Deacons 17.5
+1.5 EV 58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 155.5
+0.8 EV 57% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Vanderbilt Commodores -2400
  • Rule-based PASS: -2400 breakeven of 96% exceeds any confidence we can defensibly assign in a no-data season-opener spot
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 17.5
  • 17.5 points is a large early-season number; lack of validated data on either side and the displayed tier cap argue for the plus-side price at -108
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 57%
UNDER 155.5
  • Early-November CBB offenses typically run below season-long efficiency; 155.5 reflects peak-market total pricing on unknown rotations
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Skip the -2800 Vanderbilt ML — the -17.5 spread at -108 needs just 51.9% vs our 54% cover estimate, and Wake Forest +1300 is a tiny difference play with ~12% spread-implied win prob vs 7.1% breakeven.
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700