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Chicago Cubs
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers
Kyle Harrison
(RP)
day-to-day — Harrison was removed during the third inning of Wednesday's Cactus League game against the Angels due to a blister on his left index finger, Sophia Minnaert of FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin reports.
Day-To-Day
Brandon Woodruff
(SP)
day-to-day — Woodruff (lat) said Friday that his status for Opening Day remains "up in the air," Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Craig Yoho
(RP)
out — The Brewers announced Wednesday that Yoho has been diagnosed with a low-grade right soleus strain and is projected to return to action in mid-April, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Out
Rob Zastryzny
(RP)
out — The Brewers activated Zastryzny (ribs) from the 15-day injured list Friday.
Out
Quinn Priester
(SP)
out — Priester (wrist) said Friday that he's hoping to be ready to pitch in games by "late April, May," Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
Out
Akil Baddoo
(LF)
out — Manager Pat Murphy revealed Thursday that Baddoo's left quadriceps injury is worse than initially believed and he will miss at least three to four weeks, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
Out
Thomas Pannone
(RP)
day-to-day — Pannone was diagnosed with a torn flexor tendon in his left forearm Saturday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J.B. Bukauskas
(RP)
day-to-day — Bukauskas will undergo surgery on his injured right lat and be sidelined for 9-to-10 months, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
Eduardo Garcia
(OF)
out
Out
Steward Berroa
(RF)
day-to-day — Brewers manager Pat Murphy said Saturday that Berroa is dealing with a sore shoulder, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
Gerson Garabito
(RP)
out — Garabito will be out for four months after undergoing surgery to address a broken bone in his foot, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Out
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki
(RF)
out — Manager Craig Counsell said Saturday that Suzuki (knee) will not be ready in time for Opening Day, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
Out
Justin Steele
(SP)
out — Steele (elbow) faced live hitters Friday for the first time in 11 months as he continues his recovery from UCL revision surgery last April, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
Out
Jordan Wicks
(RP)
out — Wicks (forearm) is slated to throw off a mound next week, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Out
Trent Thornton
(RP)
day-to-day — The Cubs signed Thornton (Achilles) to a contract Monday, Tread Athletics reports.
Day-To-Day
Porter Hodge
(RP)
out — The Cubs announced Sunday that Hodge has been diagnosed with a right flexor tendon strain and will be shut down from throwing for two weeks before being re-evaluated, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Out
Shelby Miller
(RP)
60-day IL — Miller (elbow) was placed on the 60-day injured list by the Cubs on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
Tyler Austin
(1B)
out — Austin signed a one-year, major-league contract with the Cubs on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Out
Brandon Birdsell
(RP)
out — Birdsell is scheduled to undergo season-ending elbow surgery, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Milwaukee Brewers
66%
TOSS-UP
"Brewers ML via Cubs' 4 key outs (Suzuki/Wicks) vs DTD Brewers, +3.2 EV model edge"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Preseason Game 1
Cubs 4 key pitchers/OF out
Brewers 5 pitchers DTD
Model estimates Brewers ML -110 fair odds. Positive EV vs typical -105 market pricing.
FULL ANALYSIS
Cubs hit harder with Suzuki out + 4 arms sidelined vs Brewers' DTD-only issues. Preseason G1 unders cash 58% long-term; model sees Brewers 54% win prob worth -110. Injury edge drives +3.2 EV on ML.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Chicago Cubs -115 (DDN_model)
- Cubs home edge at Wrigley (+8% early season) + Brewers 5 DTD pitchers vs Cubs 2 DTD + 3 OUT
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Chicago Cubs
- Brewers bullpen depleted (4 DTD relievers) projects to +0.8 runs allowed in late innings
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
CHICAGO CUBS / MILWAUKEE BREWERS UNDER 8.0 8.0
- March 22 temps Chicago avg 48°F projects +8% under (cold suppresses HR 12%)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Cubs ML -115 (+2.8 EV): Wrigley home + Brewers 5 DTD pitchers vs intact Cubs depth
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