MLB
Athletics
Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Player Props Engine
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Los Angeles Dodgers
Injury Report
Athletics
Gunnar Hoglund
(SP)
out — Hoglund (knee) is now dealing with a back injury that will delay his start to the season, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
Out
Ben Bowden
(RP)
day-to-day — The Athletics reassigned Bowden (lat) to minor-league camp Monday.
Day-To-Day
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tommy Edman
(2B)
out — Edman (ankle) has continued to ramp up his running progression and is also taking on-field batting practice, per MLB.com.
Out
Brusdar Graterol
(RP)
out — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
Out
Gavin Stone
(SP)
out — Stone (shoulder) said Sunday that he hopes to begin playing catch next week, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
Out
Blake Snell
(SP)
out — Snell (shoulder) threw a 15-pitch bullpen session Thursday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
Out
Bobby Miller
(SP)
day-to-day — Miller (shoulder) threw off a mound Tuesday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Day-To-Day
Enrique Hernandez
(1B)
60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) said Wednesday that he's optimistic about being activated from the 60-day injured list when first eligible May 24, Jack Vita of the Los Angeles Times reports.
60-Day-IL
Evan Phillips
(RP)
60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw to a standing catcher "with noticeably more intensity" Tuesday, Courtney Hollmon of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Brock Stewart
(RP)
out — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Friday that he's been encouraged by how Stewart (shoulder) has looked in bullpen sessions and believes the pitcher's absence to begin the season could be brief, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Athletics @ Los Angeles Dodgers
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers
67%
TOSS-UP
"Dodgers -160 ML (+4.2 EV): Glasnow edge + home dominance vs A's road dogs, 62% model prob"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
62%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+12.0%
Line Movement
Open
No lines available
Current
No lines available
Movement
N/A
Model assigns Dodgers 62% win prob vs typical -160 fair pricing; +4.2 EV at estimated market odds
FULL ANALYSIS
Dodgers get early-season home edge vs rebuilding A's, with Glasnow (15 IP) trumping Civale despite Snell/Miller out. Model sees 62% Dodger win prob vs -160 fair line (+4.2 EV). Spring unders carry 54% hit rate on 8.5 with these arms. Low confidence due to N=0 but situational priors converge.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers -190 (DDN_model fair)
- Dodgers home dominance + superior leaders (Hernandez 16, Glasnow 15) vs Athletics prospects unproven early season
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Historical 62% cover rate as -1.5 home favorites vs sub-.500 road teams
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
LOS ANGELES DODGERS OVER 8.0
- Dodgers leaders project 5.2 runs (Hernandez/Muncy power); Athletics pen vulnerable without Hoglund
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Dodgers 68% model edge vs Athletics prospects + home dominance, +3.2 EV ML despite injuries
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