Home › Mixed Martial Arts › Marwan Rahiki @ Ollie Schmid
Mixed Martial Arts
Marwan Rahiki
Marwan Rahiki
Rahiki
Ollie Schmid
Schmid
Ollie Schmid
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
50% Lean
50% Lean
SPREAD
Ollie Schmid Ollie Schmid -0.5
"50/50 pick'em, $12k unproven whales on Schmid but 0 EV vs vig (-4.5 per $100)"
EV / $100
-4.5
Win Prob
50%
MONEYLINE Ollie Schmid None
50%
TOTAL under 2.5
50%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$12393 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home Kalshi: 47 trades Largest: $1938

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Marwan Rahiki

Ollie Schmid

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
OLL -100 / MAR -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
Marwan Rahiki @ Ollie Schmid
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Marwan Rahiki @ Ollie Schmid

+-4.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Ollie Schmid 50% Lean
"50/50 pick'em, $12k unproven whales on Schmid but 0 EV vs vig (-4.5 per $100)"
50% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 50%
Book Implied 50%
Edge 0.0%
Line Movement
Current omega_model: Spread Ollie Schmid -0.5 (-110) / Marwan Rahiki +0.5 (-110); ML Ollie Schmid -110 / Marwan Rahiki -110; Total 2.5 (-110)
Movement No movement (model generated pick'em)
Vig eliminates edge on pick'em at -110; need 52.4% to break even
FULL ANALYSIS
Pure pick'em per Bayesian fusion (50% home/away) with no Poisson/ELO/Monte Carlo available. Moderate whale volume ($12k) on Schmid but 0 profitable wallets tracked weakens signal. Poor data (24%) and N=0 calibration demand pass across board.
SHARP MONEY
Moderate $12k whale volume on home (100% confidence) but 0 profitable wallets tracked
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Ollie Schmid -0.5
-4.5 EV 50%
MONEYLINE Ollie Schmid None
-4.5 EV 50%
TOTAL under 2.5
-4.5 EV 50%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Ollie Schmid -110
  • Bayesian posterior exactly 50%; whale alignment but unproven wallets
SPREAD PICK
○ 50%
Ollie Schmid -0.5
  • Model pick'em but whale volume provides minimal home lean
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 50%
UNDER 2.5
  • Model-generated neutral total with no pace/injury data
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ollie Schmid ML -108 (omega_model): +1.2 EV from 52% prob vs 50% prior + tiny whale home signal
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE