Home › NBA › Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
Hornets
90 - 121
Final
Orlando Magic
Magic
Orlando Magic
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Orlando Magic Orlando Magic 3.5
"Orlando +142 ML +25.8 EV (51.7% model vs 41.3% implied) w/ extreme whales + injury net edge"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
52%
Edge
+1.7%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Orlando Magic None
65%
TOTAL under 217.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
-2.5
Edge: +1.0
Total
179.0
Edge: -38.5
Win Prob
51.7%
ML
-107 / 107

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Charlotte Hornets

Orlando Magic

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 125 / -145 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 130 / -141 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 22.5 (190)
Market Consensus - - Over 217.5 (-104)
Market Consensus 2.5 (-105) - -
De-Vigged Fair Value -101 / 101 136 / -136 O/U 102 / -102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Charlotte Hornets

P
PJ Hall
(C) out — The Hornets announced Thursday that Hall underwent a procedure to address a fractured right ankle and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Out

Orlando Magic

J
Jonathan Isaac
(F) out — Isaac (knee) is out for Sunday's Game 1 against the Pistons.
Out
Box Score
FINAL
Charlotte Hornets
Hornets
90
-
Orlando Magic
Magic
121
Orlando Magic 3.5
64% conf
W

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Orlando Magic 64% Sharp Lean Calibrated
"Orlando +142 ML +25.8 EV (51.7% model vs 41.3% implied) w/ extreme whales + injury net edge"
52% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 52%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +1.7%
Line Movement
Current Charlotte Hornets -3.5 (-110) / Orlando Magic +3.5 (-110)
Movement No significant line movement detected
Net injury advantage to Orlando (+3.4%) No rest/travel flags
+25.8 EV on Orlando ML at +142 as our 51.7% exceeds 41.3% implied by 10.4%
Model: 48.6% win rate | n=523 — Recent 7d 13-25 (-11.25u); favor ML as profitable in mid-tiers
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega ML -107/home 51.7% crushes +142 implied 41.3% with whales extreme $283k on Orlando + net injury edge +3.4%. Spread market -3.5 overjuices vs omega -2.5, MC away covers 71% on tighter line. Total 217.5 obliterates model 179-190 range (NegBin 181), but totals WR 48.7% caps sizing.
SHARP MONEY
RLM on spread to home, whales extreme volume on home ($283k, 80 wallets), total sharp over but game models under market total
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Orlando Magic 3.5
+4.8 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE Orlando Magic None
+25.8 EV 65% 1u
TOTAL under 217.5
+12.4 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Orlando Magic 142
  • Omega 51.7% home win vs 41.3% implied (+10.4% edge), breakeven 41.3% crushed
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Orlando Magic 3.5
  • Omega spread -2.5 vs market -3.5 (1pt edge) + MC away covers 71.1% on tighter line
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 60%
UNDER 217.5
  • Omega total 179 vs market 217.5 (-38.5pt edge), MC projected 189.9 total
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
76ers/Magic -3.5 (0.5u): +6.9% net injury edge on Charlotte Hall OUT, +3.2 EV/100
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

PULSE · LIVE